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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Not once in the past two weeks did I feel panic. The math had already set clear expectations that this move was coming—and it gave daily instructions on exactly what to do. You simply wake up, read the math, and execute the system. It works in raging bubbles and wartime drawdowns alike.

Similar Set Signal's all-time record against the SPY.

These are the raw trades. When you analyze the full machine daily (as we do daily), you can filter for only the highest percentage setups—where the market screams "act"—and layer in Quad context. That approach should even outperform these number instead of blindly taking every signal.

Now what's the signal saying today:

VIX

​Monday, March 9, 2026​

Yesterday's move was spot-on.

Now watch closely: if VIX closes below the Similar Set TREND line, the panic phase is likely over. It's still holding the TRADE level and hasn't separated yet, but a breakdown would mark the turn.

MOVE

Still showing a different signal. It needs to start moving toward TREND. Watch that the low end of the RANGE doesn't cross below TREND.

HYG

Credit ripped from the low end of the RANGE up to TREND—just like VIX. Wait for closes and separation to confirm the market's next direction.

QQQ

Decision time for big tech. Tech usually thrives in Quad 3 inflation. Be ready to flip those tech shorts to longs if we get the right closes in VIX, HYG, and here.

A system lets you stay prepared for both outcomes—whether Nasdaq drops another 2% to the RANGE low or explodes through a hidden fractal break of Similar Set TREND.

SPY

SPY is currently sitting above both TRADE and TREND, but I wait for closes and separation (accounting for ~1.1% volatility noise) before officially calling a bullish TRADE/TREND shift.

This is the first newsletter tone change since February 25, when VIX signaled the flash-crash setup. These move don't happen out of nowhere, you need to notice the particulars in real time.

Sector Signals

XLF

With the broader equity context shifting, cover those shorts near the low end of the RANGE. You can always reload higher if needed.

Remember: shorting is different from "buying the dip." Markets crash and recover; bull markets trend.

XLY

We picked our short spot, and now the OODA loop is complete. Potential VIX/SPY TREND recovery is a good cover spot for me. That doesn't mean the signal says go long yet—move with the market.

USO

​Monday, March 9, 2026​

Did you offload more oil yesterday before the 20% pullback?

Still in bullish TRADE and TREND, but TREND now sits in the middle of the RANGE, and the low end is starting to roll over. This isn't the same buildup we saw before the prior fractal explosion, now it's time to manage those gains and no arrows will print here in the middle of the RANGE besides a reduce if it break TRADE.

XOP

Ready to buy the dip in XOP if it hits 151.9?

That level would keep it in bullish TRADE and TREND. You don't need to stare at screens—you can set orders in advance because the you have the exact math.

XLU

Buying the dip in XLU has outperformed for anyone without a process—because it simply hasn't gone down much.

XLU loves the low end of the RANGE in bullish TRADE/TREND setups (80%+ batting average when the green arrow appears), but that doesn't include only Quad 3 context, which it thrives in.

XLP

Overrun or real break? Selling at the low end of the RANGE after this drop—with TREND behind you—is solid context. We've covered it extensively. Price is now ~1% below entry. If the move panicked you, lower your position size.

XLI

​Friday, March 6, 2026​

The process couldn't have been clearer.

XLI hit 166.16 exactly.

Now up 3.75%, with another 3.3% to the top of the RANGE.

Fractal math is beautiful.

HECA (Hedgeye Asset Management ticker)

Flashing the same fractal setup today.

Macro Markets

TLT

The signal told you multiple times to get in.

If it breaks, it'll tell you to get out.

Currently closing above and sitting above Similar Set TREND after a recent overrun. Set stop orders just past the volatility-adjusted break level (~0.8% below TREND).

You don't need to day-trade—you execute the specific process when signals appear, and you know where they'll hit ahead of time once you master the math.

DXY

DXY spent five days outside and holding the top end of the RANGE.

Did you sell some there before this pullback?

Now price is at Similar Set TRADE. A break lower gives ~0.8% to the RANGE bottom (big move for DXY).

If you have core FX shorts, take partial profits and stay ready—either to add if it keeps ripping or to "buy the dip" (short the FX rip) in the strongest currencies on fractal "1st rally" arrows.

Euro

Currencies aren't like equities—they can trend down because DXY index trends up. Almost everything works in Euro, but it has a noticeably high shorting average.

When hedging with shorts in your portfolio, FX is often the cleanest place.

That's why I covered XLY and XLF while holding FX shorts.

GLD

​Tuesday, March 3, 2026​

A week ago today.

Are you in Gold?

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is back above TRADE, which means immediate term direction is up and clear place to go it TREND at 79K. It's not a strong buy signal but expectation is up. You don't need to make hero calls to make money in markets.

Hundreds of people read these updates every day without having access to Similar Set Signal—and you're missing out on real money. It's like walking past cash on the floor. With a clear, math-based edge, plus the simple daily market analysis, it's a repeatable process already built for you, you just have to practice executing.

So stop reacting to volatility and start anticipating it with math-backed clarity. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and get the daily edge that keeps you calm and positioned—no matter what the market throws next. It's risk free for 90 days.

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