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If you are freaking out about this move, it means you didn’t execute in April when prices were much lower and which means you don’t have a process you can execute on your own in real time when signals are changing or when shit is hitting the fan.
For example, did you see VIX holding BULLISH TRADE intra-day? What do you do when that happens? Holding TRADE means REDUCE until you reach Similar Set TREND. The process now says start buying again here at 23 VIX.
There’s a bubble in crash calling.
Crashes don’t happen in bullish TRENDs. QQQ is still UP 15% since breaking bullish TREND.
This is a correction, and fractal math says this is where you should be buying. If VIX flips to bullish TREND and QQQ breaks TRADE, it’s a further reduce signal. But I don’t make calls—I just execute the math in front of me.
The process had you selling some on green this morning, and now you can buy tickers back at VIX 23.
The AI bubble everyone is calling to pop is an obvious DIP. Most don’t have a process, and even fewer have fractal math to take advantage of these panic attacks.
Are you short or long Oil? With all these headlines, it wasn’t even a possibility Oil could go lower. But the math was screaming don’t be long Oil, and inflation was signaling lower last week across the board. Oil was down over 5% today.
Math signaled disinflation last week. The question is, did you listen?
Inflation down + dollar up (especially on the break of a fractal level causing acceleration) can create these Quad 4 type days. They can also create Quad 1 days if they are at a slower rate. I don’t make calls on Quads either—I just follow the fractal signals daily. It’s 10X simpler and gets you in and out of the right tickers anyway.
This is what a break down looks like.
It hasn't broken TREND, but this is when you REDCUE exposure.
Notice how different this looks vs QQQ. One is dipping, one has a potential for a crash.
Then you look at Bitcoin and Gold, and they ARE crashing. You should have exposure to shorts—just not the shorts everyone is talking about on X.
Bitcoin’s fractal signal is getting stronger, not weaker, to the downside. The RANGE is getting lower down to 56K and the top end is moving further below TREND duration. But the time to short was on the TREND break back near 70K. Then it said to cover some. Now you wait and watch from a position of strength because if you reach the top end of the RANGE, you’d technically be above TRADE, which is a completely different signal.
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Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "People who panic don't have a process. People with a process don't panic." — Keith McCullough People who can execute the process without needing anyone’s input—thanks to access to the fractal...