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Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Were you completely blindsided by Keith this morning when he started throwing the term around #Quad4? If you can see the signal, you shouldn’t be. I brought it up yesterday because when you can see the math, it becomes obvious. It actually doesn’t really matter what you call it because you are just doing what the market is doing—without labels.

​Tuesday, June 9th, 2026​

For examples:

Oil

Oil flipped bearish TREND May 28th.

TLT

Bonds broke TRADE and have been giving a reduce signal since May 26th.

DXY

The dollar first got above TREND on May 15th. It overran for a while, but there were signs well before this morning.

BTC

Bitcoin closed below TREND for the first time on May 28th.

GLD

Gold has been in bearish TREND since March.

HYG

Credit closed bearish TREND for the second time. The first one was on May 15th with the dollar.

The point is, it doesn’t matter what you call it. You should be positioned for it:

• Short Gold
• Short Bitcoin
• Short Oil
• Long Dollar
• Reduced Bonds

These setups were already on the tape before Friday through yesterday’s move. You didn’t need to call it Quad 4. Now US equities are starting to show that label.

VIX

No one should be panicking on a break of TRADE. You stop buying and start REDUCING. Were you doing that? Could you even see it? Without the Similar Set Signal it’s not possible because it’s the only full access fractal math on the market.

I started by reducing individual names and consolidating longs into ETFs like QQQ and SMH—things with the strongest signals.

This doesn’t mean there’s an imminent crash. You already broke TRADE and accelerated to TREND, which was respected and rejected by the tick 23.41 (gotta love fractal math).

So until TREND is broken, I’m expecting these lows to hold in US equities. That doesn’t mean it will, or that I load up on the dip like the previous red arrow days you see on the VIX. Those are different fractal structures which mean different fractal instructions.

QQQ

This is the first touch of the low end of the RANGE since the April breakout. It’s sitting right at the low end of the RANGE and bullish TRADE within bullish TREND. I wouldn’t be adding short in QQQ's. The shorts were in GLD, BTC, FXE, and Oil to hedge your book, but those were fractal instructions from weeks ago. You can go back and do it when it becomes obvious.

SMH

Same fractal math in semis. I’d expect at least a bounce to the top end of the RANGE which COULD create a lower high and start a true Quad 4 in US equities. But that’s predicting. I just do what the market is doing. So hold in tickers like this REDUCE overall equities, and if you want to hedge in case TREND breaks on VIX, here are some big short names changing signals.

META

Wait for price to get near TREND to pull the trigger and be wary—TREND is in the middle of the RANGE, not the same as selling the top end of the RANGE in bearish TRADE/TREND.

MSFT

TSLA

AVGO

NFLX

Stronger names would be Netflix or crypto stocks.

MSTR

Just don’t know if you’ll get a bounce to put on the hedge if you need some exposure now.

Remember, this isn’t an all-or-nothing move today. The math told you the instructions to be positioned for this. The only asset class changing is US equities, and you should have core positions from April which should now be reduced for profits—and start to potentially exit altogether if we get a break of VIX TREND. If it feels overwhelming or chaotic, it’s because you can’t see the fractal math for yourself yet, or you have the math but haven’t had enough time to practice executing it WHEN it said it was time to.

Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and get the full fractal math and the clarity you need. Don’t wait for the next blindside—join now and start seeing what the market is actually doing risk free.

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