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Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. I was beating the drum on “wait until after the midterms to see what the machine looks like.” Today is making some big moves. That being said, the signal had you positioned for a big day in everything besides Oil. Let’s review it all. VIX...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. It’s Election Day and not much has changed, so I’m going to keep this one short. As an overview, VIX, MOVE, HYG, and SPY are all signaling Quad 4. VIX MOVE HYG SPY Shorts like DRAM and QTUM should have been added on the bounce at the top end of...

Defensive sectors continue to outperform, with Healthcare (XLV) and Consumer Staples (XLP) gaining +9.8% and +10.9% over the past month, respectively, while Technology (XLK) has fallen -8.3%.Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. "Defensive sectors continue to outperform, with...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. Big move in markets today. Earnings plus midterms are driving a big swing in the VIX signal, which is key for overall positioning. VIX Don’t ignore a move like this in the VIX, going from the low end of the RANGE to the top end and slicing right...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. I remember before I built the Similar Set Signal, situations like this would come up (great Quad data), but then Keith would start pushing Quad 4 out of nowhere. It was so confusing because those are two completely different outcomes, and I...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. "The bounce is not the signal. The TREND is the signal. And what humans see is inferior to what The Machine sees by orders of magnitude that no investor in history has ever had access to. Until now." — Keith McCullough Yesterday I noted I wasn’t...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. "We fractally measure and map ALL markets simultaneously. In a fractal system every component matters, but not equally. Some nodes carry disproportionate weight in the feedback loop" — Keith McCullough But it’s like looking at a painting: no two...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. We left off last week with the VIX as the key market to watch into the close. That resulted in holding bullish TREND and creating potential volatility risk in the market. Today Keith and Hedgeye are talking a lot about Quad 4, which can feel...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. Market is back to panic mode. That’s fine—we just got practice with this last week. Follow the fractal math. Reduce positions breaking TRADE; exit if they break TREND. If you’ve been reading this newsletter daily through this transition, you’ve...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. Imagine trying to navigate this market based on headlines and feelings. This is why you need to see the full fractal math in order to execute the process. VIX VIX attempted to break out on a trending volatility basis but has already peaked as of...