Thursday, June 11, 2026


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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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New Similar Set Handbook

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"The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough

Yesterday marked a clear tone shift. We stopped buying dips, started reducing exposure, prepared to exit core positions on bearish breaks, and added shorts for hedges. The Machine performs exceptionally well — if you have the humility to listen and automatically reposition.

First, if you are not sure what the process is, review the Similar Set Handbook above.

VIX

The process says: on a TRADE break, REDUCE.

Why? Because the immediate-term direction has shifted fractally, and the next place to go is TREND.

That shift happened quickly. Intraday, VIX broke TRADE at 18.4 and ran straight to 23.4. This was the first fractal change since breaking down on April 8th. You may have taken some drawdown buying the dip at the top end of the RANGE, but the last EIGHT days Similar Set Signal told you to buy the dip — and it worked the very next day.

The real question is: Did you follow every fractal instruction, or just the ones that didn’t work? How quickly did you REDUCE on the TRADE break, and how are you positioned now?

Since we remain in a bearish TREND, I am running a neutral book — holding stronger longs like QQQ and Semi while adding hedges at TREND breaks like TSLA and AMZN.

HYG

Before diving into US equity signals, let’s check the other two broad indicators besides VIX: credit and bond volatility.

Credit is showing a second attempt below TREND and is holding. Not a good sign today.

MOVE

The bond market remains calm, making another lower high in a bearish TREND. This does not point to an immediate Quad 4 collapse. That picture could change quickly with a VIX close over 23.4. On the other hand, we could see an oversold rally very fast if VIX closes below TRADE at 19.25. Hence the hedged book today.

QQQ

Yes, this is a steep down move. No, it is not time to panic. It is a good time to remember where you started buying. Similar Set Signal fractal instructions told you to begin buying on April 8th — 15% lower than today’s current price.

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Friday, April 10th, 2026

SEMI

Semis are still bullish on both TRADE and TREND and remain up 11% from where the math said to buy on May 19th — even after this “crash.” This is exactly why, on a reduce signal, you raise cash from weaker positions, hold the strongest names, and look to add hedges when growth and inflation have peaked and Quad 4 signs appear.

TSLA

Where do you get short to hedge? Let the math guide you. With full access to the fractal math, you can execute in real time as the market moves. Tesla is one of the best signals.

AMZN

Closed below TREND yesterday, now at TREND.

ORCL

It does not help to know only if something is bearish or bullish TREND. You need to see where TREND is, how far away price sits from it, and where the RANGE lies. When you can view all of that in real time on every ticker, you can actually execute in real time.

Macro Markets

That is what is happening in the equity fractal, but the math models all of macro. It should have positioned you to withstand this minor drawdown by shorting Oil, Bitcoin, Gold, and FX well before today.

Oil

Oil is bouncing off the low end of the RANGE in a bearish TRADE/TREND and has plenty of room to head lower. No headlines. No narratives. Just fractal math.

DXY

Dollar up, inflation down = Quad 4.

EURO

May 26th instructions were clear: get short FX.

WHEAT

Inflation has already broken lower. Now be ready to short bounces at the top end of the RANGE in bearish TRADE/TRENDS. Equities are not the only shorts available to you.

TLT

Inflation has not yet broken in bonds, but TRADE did. Have you been REDUCING TLT before the move? The process told you to start reducing and taking profits on bullish TRADE on May 26th.

GLD

This is why you do not buy bearish TRENDS. Imagine holding this since March while equities ripped — and now, with Quad 4 risk rising, it moves even lower when it “should” be a hedge. There is no narrative in fractal math, just clear objective instructions.

BTC

Bitcoin already got hammered. The signal on May 28th told you to get out. If you listened — staying long US equities and short Bitcoin that day — you should not have had any drawdown in your accounts.

This is not a hindsight process. The instructions are timestamped. The only hindsight is how well you executed them. That is important to review. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and get the exact instructions risk free.

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