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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND)

Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)

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Not many of you were subscribed to this newsletter back in April when the Similar Set Signal first flipped bullish on equities. I didn't know it was going to last seven months. But this is the first time since then that it has flipped bearish.

These flips can feel like short-term noise when we’re right around the decision levels, but once a real TREND takes hold, it can last for months. I have no idea how long this bearish TREND will run—maybe a few days, maybe weeks, maybe all the way into early 2026 when the expected Quad 1 turns into a full-blown Quad 4. The beauty is you don’t need to guess. If you have the Similar Set Signal, you simply show up every day, execute exactly what it tells you to do that day, and everything else is just noise.

Russell 2000

It’s always easier to establish shorts before the real volatility arrives. Hence acting WHEN the Similar Set Signal tells you too. Yesterday I was patiently waiting for my levels—didn’t force anything—and got filled perfectly today. Now I’m holding until the bearish TREND breaks (currently more than 4% above today’s price).

Red arrow = Entry.

This single move—only possible because the Similar Set Signal gave the exact level—would have paid for a lifetime subscription in less than 24 hours.

VIX

Closing prices are what matter. Intraday spikes are opportunities. I added to small-cap shorts around a 20 VIX. Now it’s tested the bullish TREND line and looks ready to rip into the “Fuck Bucket” (+29 VIX).

Nasdaq

Got out right on time, stopped buying “dips” that weren’t actually dips, and switched from being long tech to short small-caps—purely because the signal told me too, I didn't need to know anything else.

Yesterday:

"Don't buy"

NVDA

Were you gambling on earnings, or were you following the signal? We have a clear big lower high at the top of the range and a close back in bearish TRADE/TREND. I don’t put my capital into charts that look like this.

HYG

High-yield bonds bounced but failed to break bearish TREND while equities put in big lower highs and VIX held its bullish TREND.

Did you use that bounce to cover longs (you should have already been doing that) and establish shorts for Quad 4? Or were you trying to “call the bottom” ?

The signal tells you everything you need to know—no guessing required.

Ask yourself one simple question:

What percentage of my risk capital is currently in tickers with both TRADE/TREND (bullish or bearish)?

To answer that, you need know TRADE/TREND levels on every ticker (only Similar Set Signal offers that) but the answer to the question should really high.

For me, in the long/short book, gold and bonds are the only exceptions right now—both were entered at TREND after counter-trend moves (charts below). Everything else—Russell, Yen, Cad, Bitcoin, etc.—is fully aligned with the signal.

Gold

Not in bullish TRADE/TREND yet because I bought right off the TREND line. I’m not adding here; I’m waiting and ready to cut below TREND if it breaks.

ZB! (T-Bonds)

Same story—fighting between TRADE and TREND. A break of bullish TRADE would trigger a big move higher.

BBN (Muni Bonds)

Strong bullish TREND. The correct play is to buy the low end of the range when it’s in bullish TRADE/TREND. This is what most of your capital invested should look like.

Did you have resting orders at TRADE yesterday (just like Russell 2000)?

Were you allocating fresh capital to Quad 4 defensives, or hoping your Quad 1 positions had already bottomed?

The signal makes the “WHEN” crystal clear.

DXY

Back in bullish TRADE/TREND. Did you add FX exposure at the low end of the range on Nov 14?

CAD

I did—because the signal said to. That one add paid for a second lifetime subscription.

YEN

This one paid for five lifetimes of the Signal.

Taking some profit here makes sense, but with this account I'm going to continue to hold until the signal tells me to get out.

What would that look like?

TRADE breaks to bullish. (Not a bottom)
Next move is to SHORT the top end of the range near TREND.
Only if Yen fails to make a new low and reclaims bullish TRADE a second time would I call a bottom.

When you live with the Similar Set Signal long enough, you start seeing markets in fractals.

Bitcoin

This management strategy for this account means something like Bitcoin will never happen again. I took profits at break of TRADE. I was right, it went up, but then I missed the move back down.

I won't ever capture the entire move, but I'll never miss the meat of a move either. In a long only retirement account I sell some at the top end of the range to have fresh capital to reinvest. In a future long/short book I always have capital.

This is where the Similar Set Signal truly shines. While everyone on X is cherry-picking stats to justify their bullish bias and calling every red candle “the bottom,” you just look at the chart, see the string of red dots, and know—period—the bottom is not in yet.

Look back at the last bear market: 69k → 16k, every leg down had people screaming “capitulation.” Until TRADE finally breaks bullish, momentum hasn’t even slowed. Once it does, I’ll look to short the rally into TREND. Only if price fails to make a new low and reclaims bullish TREND a second time will I call a durable bottom—then you still have to get above TREND. Now whether that happens right here at 88k or down at 55k, doesn’t matter, the math will show me the WHEN.

If you’re tired of guessing, hoping, and getting emotionally whipsawed while the market does whatever it wants, do yourself a favor: subscribe to the Similar Set Signal today you’ll thank yourself the next time the signal flips and you’re on the right side while everyone else is panicking.