Friday, June 12, 2026


""Welcome back Reader!


How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile.

New Similar Set Handbook

Confused about what's going on in the newsletter?

More questions?

Drop them on X: @Similar_set


"Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to adjust exposure incrementally as the math changes." — Keith McCullough

The beauty in having the full fractal math is that I can operate in a state of complete uncertainty but still be absolutely certain what I should do. The Similar Set Signal prints crystal clear fractal Instructions for me daily.

VIX

I don’t know what Quad the market is in today. I don’t know what it will price in tomorrow. But I know exactly what to do with the VIX holding a bearish TREND and closing back below TRADE.

Close shorts from running neutral to get net long in US equities.

Note:

If the market starts closing above TRADE, it can make another push toward TREND and I’ll go back to running neutral. This is why it’s so important to see the math for yourself — things can happen quickly.

MAGS

MAGS mirrored the VIX fractal instructions.

  1. Buy the dip at low end of RANGE
  2. Reduce on break of TRADE
  3. Enter back at TREND

Remember the fractal cycle of momentum — it’s the SECOND break of TRADE that is usually the one you need to worry about. If you don’t know what I’m talking about, check the Similar Set handbook at the top of this email for articles and videos explaining fractal instructions in detail.

HYG

Credit has made a big turn in the signal, failing below TREND. Not a Quad 4 sign.

MOVE

Bond volatility also isn’t worried about a pending Quad 4 as of today.

QQQ

If you’re getting chopped up by headlines or whipsawed by trying to listen only to Keith instead of seeing the math on your own, it’s easy to panic. You feel like you don’t know what to do. Then the market does this — and you’ve missed most of the move up from April 8th. You feel like you finally bought the dip in size, then got run over, exited, and went short… while the chart never even came close to TREND.

IWM

Small caps at ATH leading all US indices is not a Quad 4 signal. Take some profits here. It’s one of the few things sitting at the top end of the RANGE.

Macro Markets

Unless you have a “macro team” or specialize in one asset like Gold or Oil, you don’t have the certainty to trade all of macro. With the Similar Set Signal, you have the same level of certainty across the board. Fractal math models it all. You don’t need to know anything more than every ticker’s TRADE, TREND, TAIL, and RANGE to execute.

Oil

The Signal knew what to do BEFORE the headlines. It doesn’t care how many people are talking about reserves being used up. All it cares about is the flows, which are measured and mapped, giving you clear instructions to get short Oil on June 1st after breaking TREND and pulling back.

XLE

XLE might have some catching up to do as it sits in bearish TRADE/TREND ready to return to pre-war levels.

EURO

Euro made its initial push after the math told you to get short. Now it’s coming back to that level in bearish TRADE/TREND. Could get another opportunity to diversify your book.

EWY Korea

Korea has basically followed US markets, so not much of a hedge in this global equity mix.

EWZ Brazil

Brazil, on the other hand, is coming up on a clear short when it hits the top end of the RANGE in bearish TRADE/TREND.

I know nothing about Brazil. I don’t know its Quads. I don’t know who runs it or what the latest headline is. I know the fractal math: TRADE, TREND, RANGE.

TLT

May 26–29 was an important shift in macro. Across the board, assets went from inflation to deflation. It’s when TLT broke into bullish TRADE and the math told you to reduce. Then the signal continued to weaken day after day, with TREND following to the middle of the RANGE as TRADE crept lower, showing bullish structure. You should have been at your absolute minimum and exited the rest yesterday.

GLD

Gold still sucks.

HECA

HECA still sucks. Pay for the ownership of Similar Set Signal’s fractal so you don’t just buy something like this thinking it will run the process for you.

BTC

Everyone is getting excited. The math is saying it’s almost time for another short (another way to hedge).

Ready to trade with this kind of daily clarity and certainty? Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and get the full fractal math working for you across every market in real time. Click here to join now risk free.

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What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?

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My win percentage has gone roof"

If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you!

Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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