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People who can execute the process without needing anyone’s input—thanks to access to the fractal math—were even calmer. That’s why I offer ownership of the Similar Set Signal. To truly be in control, you need to see every TRADE, TREND, and RANGE in real time so you can execute and stay unemotional during panics like Friday.
A couple of things stand out on this chart. First, on the green arrow days, you should have been taking profits in preparation for the next dip. You may not know exactly when it will come, but you know it always does. Second, you have to know whether it is actually a dip. When price was at the top end of the RANGE, you buy some. After it broke TRADE (~19) intra-day, it was time to pause because a break of TRADE means accelerate—which it did. Then into the close it sat near TREND (~23), so buying some more there made sense.
Now, while the people panicking over the weekend are convinced we are at a top, they are either shorting or frozen and unable to buy the dip. If VIX closes below TRADE (18.30), expect acceleration back to the low end of the RANGE. The macro tourists will have successfully missed out on another opportunity in this historic bull run bubble they've been missing since April.
Bond vol is firmly in bearish TREND. No panic here.
Credit needs to reclaim TREND. If it doesn’t, that doesn’t mean we will crash—it could simply be pricing in Quad 3 (growth slowing).
First official fractal signal in QQQ since the bullish flip on April 8th. What did you do with it? Do you have the math to execute the process on your own?
Small caps. Does this look like we are about to collapse? No. Headlines mean nothing to me—the fractal math tells me everything I need to know.
Semis have given you a second fractal buy. Same math, same process, same people panicking. What were you doing on May 19th and June 5th?
This is the 8th day in a row Oil is below TREND. The signal has been strengthening. No one should be surprised if it makes new lows.
Fractal math first showed bullish TRADE and TREND, then the market accelerated. I wasn’t in FX shorts or FX longs at the time. Now the signal is clear and could change again depending on what the math says at the low end of the RANGE next time.
Notice the difference in these dips. The first one is bullish TRADE/TREND. The second one is below TRADE. With the dollar now firmly in bullish TRADE/TREND, you should be reducing emerging markets ETFs, being more selective with the ones you are long, and even hedging with those showing bearish fractal formations.
Yes, a higher-than-expected CPI print is coming this week, but there is also a fractal signal on Oil that cannot be ignored. That is why bonds are in an indecisive spot—bearish TREND but near the low end of the RANGE and holding bullish TRADE. I will stay away from new positions until after the CPI print. Notice the last three arrows—you should have already made money on them.
Gold sucks and it has sucked since March 13th. The math has told you to have zero long exposure to it for months.
Don’t get too excited on this bounce yet. It needs to get over $71K to become a fractal move back long. Nowhere close yet.
If you were wanting some short exposure on those VIX green arrow days (VIX low end of the RANGE) crypto was the clear cut postions to put on. The fractal math makes the process seem obvious in real time, you just need to practice executing it.
Ready to stop guessing and start seeing every TRADE, TREND, and RANGE in real time? Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and take full ownership of the process risk free for 90 days.
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Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Crash calls require signal, not narrative. The key is identifying emergent properties across similar sets, fractal dimensions, and multiple durations." — Keith McCullough If you are freaking out...