The reason why Reader, starts in August 2024.

We were coming out of the most recent Quarterly Quad4 when the market forced the Fed to pivot, by dialing up the number of anticipated rate cuts.

Less than two months later Trump gets elected in Q3, Quad3 then the market ripped the bears faces off from November 5th til Inauguration Day January 20th.
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This was supposed to be the peak of the market mania.
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The first 100 days of Trump’s term was supposed to be a forward-looking Quad2.

A Bitcoin strategic reserve was established.

An AI czar was appointed.

The Fed was mid-cut cycle, and Trump himself was in the Oval Office.

NONE OF THAT MATTERED

Now really smart people, myself included, thought we had it figured out. A pro-energy, fiscally efficient, tax-cut policy seemed like a slam dunk for the economy.

Who wouldn’t be bullish?

Well, the signal wasn’t.

Before federal agencies were gutted, before tariffs took effect, before Powell turned hawkish heading into another Quad4

The signal KNEW
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I’ll admit, I held on a bit too long, but none of us are immune to our own biases and emotions. When the signal first broke down, I convinced myself the market was overreacting—a shakeout before the big “Trump Pump.”

Then the signal worsened and the crowd was getting more bullish, that's when I started unloading risk assets. That was in February.

Guess what, the signal was right. — it’s always right.

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It knew before the data hit—that policy was tanking growth and inflation, shifting Q1 2025 into a Quad4 --flip flopping overnight.

And my opinions got in the way.

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I thought maybe the signal was giving a false breakdown, that we’d still get Quad2 and all those bullish narratives. Luckily I had the signal screaming at me for 5 days straight saying, it's not getting better dude.

But 99.99% of people didn't.

Then the market crashed over 10% over the next 15 days. And that was before the tariff tantrum.

"So what I don't have the signal, I got Kieth."

This is true, I watch the Marco Show everyday too but if you rewind the tapes to the last week of February when Keith said, “Markets looked like they fully priced in Quad 4, and next week is March, a monthly Quad 1. I won’t be positioned for Quad 4 then.”​
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So that was the last week of February, the first week of March, the markets tanked.

This isn't a 'gotcha' Keith. It's what he was seeing one day, then the exact opposite the next.

The point is, the signal can shift faster than Keith can communicate it to me.

He can’t hold my hand.

I have to be able to read and react on my own as new information comes in.

If you’ve been with Hedgeye for a while, you’ve likely had a similar experience—maybe even this time around too. And it's frustrating as hell because you know the Hedgeye Process works but you still didn't make money.

Why?

There's an information gap.
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But this signal closes that gap, I guarantee you would have seen it develop in real time with it.

I know, because I saw it develop in real time with it.

Having this Similar Set Signal would’ve paid for itself in the first three months for a lifetime of use..

You don’t believe me? Try it risk-free for 90 days.

Invest in the signal today—before you miss the bottom too.

Thank you for reading Reader,

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