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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Calm before another storm?

Maybe.

• VIX Bullish TREND
• MOVE Bullish TREND
• DXY Bullish TREND
• HYG Bearish TREND

Taken together, risk is still present.

But the bigger question is: How did you handle the last storm?

If you don’t go back and look at what you did you’ll never get better.

Here’s what the math is signaling today—before the next move arrives:

VIX

No surprise: VIX pulled back from outside its RANGE, just as it wasn’t a surprise when we launched over 50% from Wednesday, February 25th. That’s exactly what the math indicated beforehand.

Now the Similar Set TREND sits in the middle of the RANGE, and price faded right to it by day’s end—not unexpected.

VIX is also overrunning its bullish TRADE level.

The next few daily closes will reveal a lot, but until we see a volatility-adjusted break, assume bullish. (If unsure what “volatility-adjusted break” means, check the handbook at the top of the email.)

MOVE

Bond volatility remains clearly in a bullish TREND, with TREND near the low end of the RANGE. This is not a sign that everything is behind us yet.

HYG

Credit is in a bearish TREND. Notice it already signaled this at the end of the day on Friday—before the storm hit.

Now that the storm has passed, the key is determining whether another one is coming. Watching how price reacts to TREND in the middle of the RANGE matters.

What should you do?

Not much changes: Know the backdrop is there, but stick to the individual signals with absolute discipline. That positioning will prepare you whether the next storm arrives or not.

QQQ

This is the third test of bearish TRADE, and the top end of the RANGE is starting to pull away above TREND. That’s a weakening bearish signal, not one that’s strengthening.

IWM

Small caps never actually closed a bearish TREND—they just overran as TREND sat below the low end of the RANGE (a lot of math working against price). The math won.

First step: Close above TRADE.

If it can’t close above TRADE, the low end of the RANGE will start moving below TREND, creating a very different signal from this snapshot.

Sector Signals

Broad U.S. equity indexes give only part of the picture. You shouldn't of been positioned there. For 2026, the real edge has come from sectors—where signal strength differences are clear.

XLU

After the Similar Set Signal called the 10% breakout to the day, it then told you exactly where to buy the dip—right in the middle of geopolitical chaos.

Did you see it?

You would of if you had the Similar Set Signal.

You knew if price got back to the green line it would still be above TRADE and TREND. You don't need to be staring at screens all day when you have access to the full math. Limit buy order ay 46.16 takes 1 minute and can be done at night.

Friday, February 20, 2026

Did you have the patience and discipline on this one?

XLP

Did you buy the dip the last two times when it felt "late" ?

Did you sell some at the top of the RANGE ?

Are you ready to reduce if XLP breaks TRADE?

The math gives clear, consistent instructions to make money in markets. You just need access to the math to get those instructions.

XLI

Bullish TRADE and TREND with the RANGE well above both—that’s a lot of math for price to fight.

Review your decisions since November 28th against what the math said. There’s no reason you shouldn’t have been making money here.

Next: Be ready to reduce on a TRADE break. You can set orders at the exact levels in advance because you know where they are.

XOP

Energy was on sale Wednesday, February 25th—four days before the war started. You just needed the math to be positioned ahead of the chaos.

​Thursday, February 26, 2026​

It actually gave you two chances.

Did you have the conviction and discipline to execute exactly what the math instructed? You won’t get there by listening to other people’s calls. Anyone can do this—but you need the math, and then you need to practice using it in real time.

XLF

When VIX and XLF were both outside their RANGE, did you follow the process and sell some? Were you even hedged?

XLY

Same story here. At one point it was 3% outside the probable fractal RANGE—a clear “sell some” signal. Are you ready to cover shorts entirely if VIX breaks back to bearish TREND?

Macro Markets

KOSPI

Global equities were the only macro asset hit hard according to the math. Even with big down moves, review what the process actually said:

• Last fractal buy was 3% lower than the current panic level.
• It told you to sell some 7% higher than entry on the first red arrow, then reduce more on TRADE break (also 7% higher).
• It never signaled buying the dip because the low end of the RANGE was dropping faster than price.

Now you should have plenty of profits and a position 3% lower to average into this fractal buy at TREND (first break of TRADE, buy at TREND).

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

“Isn’t signaling re-entry”

EEM

Another global equities example.

• First fractal buy: Enter 15% lower with a core position.
• Then buy the dip and sell some for a 6% RANGE round trip.
• On TREND break, exit all—flat with profits banked.

When you pick and choose which signals to execute, it’s not the math or process failing—it’s the selective execution.

GLD

Gold looks fractally similar to KOSPI’s blow-off top: extreme drop, slicing through TRADE straight to TREND. Compare the two charts and start seeing the fractal structures.

I haven’t been caught in any of these metals moves—the only position has been long Gold since the top, when volatility shifted and stated daily in newsletters.

USO

Did you sell some Oil yet? Only sell some—but the signal is obvious after buying BEOFRE the move.

Thanks Similar Set Signal.

TLT

Bonds have been quiet, but a 1.3% equally weighted move to the top of the RANGE is still a solid opportunity today.

Bullish TRADE and TREND at RANGE.

DXY

Math said get short FX. Euro was the currency of choice.

Euro

All timestamped review yesterday: Tuesday, March 3, 2026​

Bitcoin

Yesterday

Yesterday → Today: Now 8% of the way toward that 15%.

Stop trying to pick and choose signals based on when you "feel" comfortable.

Instead, get the full Similar Set Signal math on your screen for the next 90 days.

Execute every signal with discipline.

Build a fully equally weighted, diversified book.

Hammer those signals consistently over that full period—no exceptions.

You don't need to glue yourself to the computer all day. Set precise orders based on the exact TRADE, TREND, and RANGE levels the math provides.

Then review and adjust when you have time throughout the day.

The edge comes from following the process relentlessly, not from selective execution or emotional timing.

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