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(Over an hour of video content)
Ryan Ricci and ChatGPT on dealing with market anxiety:
Pair that mindset with the Similar Set Signal and you’ll be amazed at how different your market experience — and your PnL — will feel.
And down goes the Dollar. It’s not magic. It’s fractal math.
Second bearish TRADE — expect it to be pulled back to TREND. I’ll look to take my shot at shorting more FX once DXY gets closer to TREND.
Bullish TRADE + TREND with the RANGE sloping upward. Just waiting for a pullback closer to TREND (green arrow).
The signal is giving no reason to be bearish on equities right now. Dips are for buying.
Bearish TRADE + TREND. RANGE is close to crossing TREND, with the low end down at 12.68.
This is not Quad 4 volatility.
Equities have been clear but not the easiest to make money in lately — more of a “preserve and protect” sequence. Still, there are always tickers that perform.
Did you catch the two clean buy signals HECA gave during this tough Quad transition in Novemeber?
Both were one of the five fractal opportunities, now it’s breaking back to bullish TRADE with the RANGE starting to turn upward.
Did you start allocating yesterday? A reversal bar is now forming at the low end of the RANGE inside bullish TRADE + TREND. This is what real-time opportunities look like. I'd be adding the rest for this opportunity here, I wouldn't wait any lower, but that doesn't mean it can't go lower — stop behind TREND.
Not a Quad 4 signal.
Price closed + separated from TREND, then came back to test and hold it. That move not only gives more insight to the Quad (not Quad 4), it gives you a clean exit to protect capital.
The U.S. doesn’t look like Quad 4, but China still does.
With the Similar Set Signal you can truly #GoAnywhere and know exactly where to enter and when to exit.
Entry at bearish TRADE + TREND (one of the five fractal setups) with a stop behind TREND (~2%) is a process-driven way to put free capital to work.
Looking at the #GoAnywhere Global Value basket gave you one of the classic five fractal opportunities: buy at the low end of the RANGE within bullish TRADE/TREND.
Where’s your money allocated right now? What do the signals look like? Do you even know?
TLT has broken down materially — bearish TRADE + TREND. You don’t “need” to be in any ticker. When the signal breaks, I exit. It might resolve higher later, but why risk capital when there are endless stronger tickers to rotate into? Keep cash moving toward the strongest signals.
Why stay in TLT when you have bond tickers that look like this?
Bullish TRADE + TREND.
Sitting at a fractal setup: failed twice below TREND, now retesting the bullish side. This also confirms the market isn’t pricing in lower bond yields right now — financials love higher yields.
Does the machine know something? I don’t know what but the ‘news’ will tell you why after the move already happens.
No change. That original buy signal was a hell of an entry. Much harder to make decisions up here near the top of the RANGE. Just waiting for a pullback, but still expecting higher — RANGE, TRADE, and TREND are all pointing up.
The market loves to pull back when you feel most confident. Three massive pumps into the top of the RANGE — now just waiting for the dip to TRADE.
Current fractal setup: Second failure below TRADE was the long opportunity (green arrow) — against TREND (see handbook for details). It didn’t give much pullback after clearing TRADE the second time.
That doesn’t mean go all-in bullish yet.
Still needs to clear TREND, which sits all the way up at 103k. That’s actually the next fractal setup: short at TREND. So I can expect higher prices but stay bearish because that’s what the fractals are saying.
With the Similar Set Signal I already know exactly what I’ll do before any “new bullish announcement” drives price straight into my short zone. It keeps me aligned with what the market is actually doing and gives me confidence to execute in real time.
Coaching note:
Closed above TRADE with three consecutive closes once it finally separated (closed at 90,847).
If you want to start scaling in, do it incrementally from that zone (90k area and current TRADE at ~88,800).
This newsletter is similar to what Keith does with real-time alerts. I aim to be just as precise and patient. But when you have the Similar Set Signal live on your screen, your options become endless — all the information is right there.
That said, I don’t chase price against TREND. I’m not buying this dip while it’s still in bearish TREND. The fractal opportunity was down at 85k on the initial break.
I’ve been using it for two years and I’m still getting better every single day. Give it time. Watch the signals work through multiple Quad shifts. Master the five fractal opportunities and keep your capital safe.
New people are joining the Similar Set Signal community every month. The best time to start was yesterday. Today is the next best time.
Get the Similar Set Signal on your screen today and start preserving — and compounding — your hard-earned money.
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No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...