Tuesday, October 28th, 2025


Welcome back Reader!

Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile

How to Read Chart

Left Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND)

Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)

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We mistake activity for progress, volatility for opportunity, and forget that the most durable outcomes come from respecting the tempo of the cycle. You don’t control it — you align with it. You listen, you adapt, and when the time comes, you act. - Fernando Valle

The Similar Set Signal aligns you with the rhythm of the machine.

What’s the current rhythm?

  • Long US Equities (Nasdaq)
  • Short Commodity (Oil)
  • Long USD (short FX)
  • Long Credit (LQD)
  • Long metals (Platinum)
  • Long Crypto (BNB)

That’s 6 different asset classes, all equal weighted. That’s a diversified portfolio. That’s asymmetry.

Vix

The VIX + signal nailed this move both up and down in equities. Now it sits firmly in bearish TRADE/TREND but near the low end of the range. Not adding down here — I positioned at 22 VIX (Break TREND) and 20 VIX (Bounce after break). If we hit 18 on the VIX, I’ll likely add more.

Nasdaq

You’re never going to nail the exact top, but that’s why you move INCREMENTALLY. Took some off at the red arrow. If that gap fill lines up with ~18 VIX, there's your add.

If you are feeling FOMO, it means you didn’t enter near TRADE (green arrow), why not? The Signal said to.

Thursday, October 23rd, 2025

Oil

With the Similar Set Signal, you see WHEN to move.

Two weeks ago: FX.

Last week: Equities.

This week: Commodities lead the charge (Gold next).

When a ticker makes lower lows in a bearish TREND, the first touch of the top end of the range near TREND is a killer opportunity — every time. The key: Are you patient enough to WAIT? Can you SEE it in real-time?

Red arrow = entry.

This ONE move would have paid for a LIFETIME subscription to the Similar Set Signal.

Gold

Gold has the same fractal setup — but in reverse. Strong TREND up, first touch of the low end of the range near TREND.

Did you sell some at the top of the range? Did you sell MORE on the break of TRADE? Good. Now buy some Gold here.

Platinum

Platinum retested TREND and held. Want to see it clear TRADE. Gold looks ready to turn — could spark a big bounce in metals.

Green arrow = entry.

DXY

This is not what a strong TREND looks like.

Failure above TRADE, forming a big lower high, downward-sloping range... Maybe front-running a dovish Fed. Maybe pricing in Quad 3 in November. I don’t know the WHY — and I don’t care. I just know this signals WEAKNESS.

With this move, I cut Euro from yesterday (move fast) and I’m watching YEN closely.

Coaching note: Ever frustrated with Keith flipping from “load up on X” to the opposite overnight? It’s because Signals CHANGE. That’s why you need it on your screen — not just in my voice or Keith’s.

YEN

This signal can flip fast. It could just as easily flip back to looking strong. That’s why you must study it deliberately and watch it in real-time.

Nothing looks wrong with the YEN chart, the caution comes from DXY. That's why you get in early and get in the strongest — then sit comfortably and let it play out.

LQD

Long Credit? Equal weighting made this a massive October winner. While most bled out near Oct 9th, the Signal called the rotation.

Crypto (USDT.D)

Bearish TRADE/TREND. Liquidity flowing out of USDT, into tokens. Buy the damn dip as long as TREND holds.

BNB

Bullish TRADE/TREND with 20% upside to recent highs.

Start reading the Signal yourself — today.

Keith wasn’t on the Macro Show today. Could you trade without him tomorrow? Subscribe to Similar Set Signal now.

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Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

Read more from Similar Set Signal

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