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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Even with the Russell and Nasdaq ripping higher against my portfolio yesterday, I still finished up money. My positions in gold, currencies, and bonds more than covered the equity drawdown. If losses on your positions feel unbearable, it’s usually one or all three things:

1. You’re too big — reduce your increment size.
2. You don’t have a clear process (if this happens → do this).
3. You aren’t truly diversified among asset classes.
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Global Macro Long/Short Book

Nasdaq (Exited)

The Signal doesn’t care about your cost basis. A bullish TREND/TRADE close paired with a bearish VIX TREND/TRADE means exit — full stop.

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Do I think the market closes back below TREND soon? Yes. Does that matter? No. I take the loss because the Signal says to, and I’ll re-enter when it tells me to. Cost basis never enters the decision.

VIX

Bearish TRADE and TREND. Low end of the range sitting around 17. Significantly different signal than a few days ago. Can you go both ways?

Russell 2000

These are just snapshots of current positions. We rode the equity bull from April, made a ton of money, exited on cue, and are now taking small losses while the market transitions. That’s the process working exactly as designed. Whatever the Signal says tomorrow, that’s what I’ll do.

LQD

Bullish TREND with close + separation. Fully confirmed.

MOVE

Watching for a confirmed bearish TREND close.

HYG

Bullish TREND. Waiting on close + separation for confirmation.

Taken the fractal signals together of VIX, QQQ, LQD, and MOVE shows that the broader environment is shifting toward neutral-to-bullish rather than outright bearish — not feelings or headlines, but mathematically. I’m letting more closes and separations play out before flipping bullish on equities as a whole, while my core positions keep gaining strength.

URNJ (Uranium Miners)

Recognize this pattern? Two failed TRADEs, then short at bearish TREND. That’s exactly what just happened in Nasdaq, but that one failed and this one worked.

$URNJ triggered one of the five core Similar Set opportunities and is already down ~17% from the sell signal. This is what they look like when they work. Now you'll be in a position of strength to mange the TREND.

META

Still bearish? Want to gain short exposure before the VIX?

With the Similar Set Signal you could find signals that look like this.

Short opportunity bearish TRADE/TREND with TRADE well above RANGE.

Google

Think the market has it wrong and want to be long? There’s a signal for that too. Google bought right through the low end of the range inside bullish TRADE/TREND and is now up 17% since the signal.

Pair it short against META this month and you were up ~30% just on that spread — all thanks to the Similar Set fractal lens.

HOOD

Plenty of chances to get short well before today’s movements. Second TRADE failure after a 400% move since April (another of the five handbook setups) — down 16% from the red arrow.

XLP

Short at TRADE inside bearish TREND, held TREND again after breaking, just like August 25th. The possibilities are nearly unlimited once you have the Similar Set Signal on your screen telling you exactly WHEN opportunities appear and WHEN they’re over.

Bitcoin

The equity bounce finally dragged Bitcoin higher. TRADE is drifting lower and now sits mid-range. Expectation remains bearish TRADE/TREND, but I don’t chase late entries. I should be short from 109k (butchered the management). This pullback to mid-TRADE isn’t a high-probability setup because it’s not coming from behind the top of the range. So I wait. Either we break TRADE and I short from higher, or it runs to TREND and I stay flat — unlike 90% of Bitcoin bagholders (been there).

The point: have a process. I don’t tell the market what it should do based on my opinion or even Quad readings. I read the Signal, know my five opportunities and exact exits, then execute with discipline. That’s it.

I won’t always be right, and the Signal won’t always be perfect — but if you show up every day and follow the process, you will master this game.
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Bonds

Equities are just one asset class. I’ve been waiting weeks for bonds to rip. They finally did, and the Similar Set Signal had me fully allocated at the exact right time.

What did you do this month — sell equities higher and rotating into bonds at the lows?

Equal-weighted bond positions turned a 1.52% move into serious profits.

DXY & Currencies

Same story for currencies.

The Signal highlighted currencies in late September.

Now we’re managing the meat of the TREND as it strengthens.

DXY is signaling potential new cycle highs while in bullish TRADE/TREND — another spot to add FX exposure as it reclaims and tests TRADE today.

A close + separation below TRADE flips the script and I'd reduce. The particulars are everything in fractal math.

Gold

Topped October 20th.

The Signal told me to skip the obvious pullback to mid-range TRADE and wait for a real break.

We got a counter-trend move all the way to the bottom of RANGE, reversed 1.3% off the ultimate low, and the rising RANGE has kept me long ever since.

Not magic — math, process, discipline.

Now attempting to flip back to bullish TRADE and test all-time highs.

HECA (Hedgeye ETF)

See the opportunity?

Strong TREND → first TRADE break at the low end near TREND = fractal opportunity.

Don’t you want to know exactly what your tickers are saying right now — in real time — so you can protect your capital, stay in winning moves, and keep growing your pile? Don’t you want a single, repeatable process that works on any ticker?

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