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Welcome back Reader! Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile How to Read ChartLeft Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND) Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE) "Here are the Top 3 Things that my fractal dimensions “look” at when I analyze anything that ticks:"
TRADE Signal
TREND Signal
Risk Range™ Signal
— Keith McCullough
If you have those three essential signals, you can navigate any market. The only thing left is the discipline to execute. VIXUnlike every dip since the Similar Set Signal turned bullish in April, this is not a “buy the dip” moment. The VIX first flipped bullish in mid-October. We risk-managed that move perfectly (see the Nasdaq arrows), and now it’s back to bullish TREND for the second time—making it clear: get OUT. Fractally, this looks like back in March 2025 the VIX briefly broke bullish TREND, calmed down, then smashed higher again on April 2nd before spiking to 60. Will it spike to 50+ again? I don’t know. But the signal is saying that the risk is very real. NasdaqMaybe it recovers tomorrow, but hoping isn't a risk management process. The Similar Set Signal told me exactly when to buy and exactly when to sell. What did you do in your portfolio since October? These aren’t hindsight arrows. Every one is time-stamped—go study the tapes: https://similarset.kit.com/posts Russell 2000Small caps are Bearish TRADE/TREND. A pullback to TREND at 2411 is a high-probability short opportunity. If you’re still heavily exposed to high-beta or momentum equities, you simply aren’t seeing the signal. HYGBearish TRADE/TREND. High-yield credit is gaining downside momentum as the top of the Range crosses below TREND. Classic Quad 4. LQDBearish TRADE/TREND. Investment-grade credit looks similar. XLP (Consumer Staples)With the Similar Set Signal you have TRADE, TREND, and RANGE levels on every ticker. That clarity lets you spot opportunities others miss. XLP is holding Bearish TRADE inside Bearish TREND—perfect short into Quad 4. PINKConversely, the signal let you catch every single buy in healthcare since it flipped Bullish TREND on August 13th. Every green arrow is PINK bouncing off the low end of the range inside Bullish TRADE/TREND. The most recent arrow is already up 12%. 30YRThe long end is holding Bearish TREND but also bullish TRADE. Quad 4 should mean TREND holds but always go with the signal over Quads as the signal tells you what the machine IS doing, not what it SHOULD do. MOVE (Bond Volatility)MOVE flipping Bullish TREND = Quad 4. It teased it on Sept 2nd and Oct 10th—today it’s holding above TREND. DXYAlmost nobody is bullish on the dollar—perfect. It flipped Bullish on Oct 7th (right before the Oct 10th panic), held TREND (first green arrow), and is now bouncing off the low end of the range attempting to break back Bullish TRADE for another leg higher. YENEqual-weighted global macro positioning means I don’t need a profitless small-cap tech bubble to make money. Most people do. Thank you, Similar Set Signal. GoldGold is struggling to hold above TRADE (rates haven’t broken lower yet). I’m still long—the low end of the range keeps rising, it’s above TREND, and my entry gives me room to hold until either Gold breaks back Bullish TRADE (resume momentum) or eventually Bearish TREND (stop out). Wood (Timber/Inflation Proxy)Nobody manipulates the $WOOD chart with headlines. The Similar Set Signal has handed you three perfect shorts on inflation. #GoAnywhere BitcoinWhen Bitcoin was at 107K, here’s exactly what the Signal was showing me: Timestamp: Monday, November 3rd, 2025 Two weeks later we hit TAIL risk at 89,635 (actual low 89,137). I admittedly butchered the downside management, but now I’m waiting for a bounce to the top of the range to reposition short. Want TRADE, TREND, and Range levels delivered every day on thousands of tickers?The signals don’t guess—they show you what the machine is actually doing, in real time, on every asset class. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and start seeing what the market is really telling you. What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?Your Signal is already paying off nicelyThis is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missingWhat a game changerAccelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believeThis is the tool I needed!For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub90 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE
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No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...