Tuesday, February 24, 2026


Welcome back Reader!


How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile.

New Similar Set Handbook

Confused about what's going on in the newsletter?

More questions?

Drop them on X: @Similar_set


"Preferences and narratives do not change the data so investors must separate what is episodic from what is truly breaking across Trade Trend and Tail" — Keith McCullough

You might want to be invested in Tech, AI, and crypto—but if you followed the signal, you’d have been steadily printing money in boring, under-owned areas while 90% of the market freaked out.

The signal put you into Staples, Industrials, Emerging Markets, Bonds, and other tickers Wall Street and X profiles don't sell.

You just had to be able to see it.

Most people care more about what they make money in than actually making money. Have you ever hear: Would you rather be right, or make money?

I’d rather be in a bullish TRADE and TREND—I could care less about what the ticker is. But it took a while to get there and I got there because I can see that information on any chart in real time. Most people don’t have fractal math indicators to show it to them.

VIX

Over the last 6 trading days, VIX opened above TREND, overran it, and closed down at TRADE.

Today the fractal math flipped: TREND is now down at 18.53, and the low end of the RANGE is rising. The math is signaling a potential clustering of volatility to the upside. Seeing it in real time keeps you aware of the risk.

HYG

Credit saw an oversold move down to TREND, below the low end of the RANGE. It’s still holding a bullish TREND for now—but that could change depending on what VIX does next.

QQQ

QQQ is anchoring to TREND but remains bearish in both TRADE and TREND. You should already be out of U.S. tech. With the current VIX math, I’d only hold the absolute strongest individual names right now.

Sector Signals

XLP

This is the beauty of the Similar Set Signal fractal math indicator. The strongest signals always know what VIX is saying—it’s built on price, volume, and volatility. While people got whipsawed and scared, defensives like Staples are printing, and the math told you exactly when and where to buy.

+3% in two days.

XLI

Core position opened Nov 28 → Entry

Jan 2 → First pullback add

Jan 30 → Another pullback add

Today didn’t quite trigger a new fractal signal, but you should have been riding this bullish TRADE and TREND for months with clear entries, adds, and profit-taking levels.

An XLI risk manager’s experience vs. a #Bag7 investor has been night and day.

XLU

No real pullbacks in XLU yet, but the signal told you to get in 7% lower. Utilities aren’t sexy, but they’re what people wished they own now.

Macro Markets

Global Equities don't care about the VIX.

  • KOSPI: +20% in 9 days
  • TUR: +3% in 3 days
  • GVAL: +3% in 5 days
  • EEM: +8% in 12 days

KOSPI

Up 20% in 9 days.

TUR

+3% in 3 days.

GVAL

+3% in 5 days

EEM

+ 8% in 12 days.

We’ve been reviewing these setups daily for weeks. It’s been obvious where money was being made—if you’ve been waiting for someone else to tell you exactly when and where to pull the trigger, you’ll always be a step behind.

That’s exactly why I make the fractal math available to anyone willing to learn and use it. Don't take that opportunity for granted.

USO

Friday, February 13, 2026

Jan 12 and Feb 12—what did you do on those dates?

TLT

Did you get long-term bonds when the math signaled it? These moves happen fast and then run. You don’t get a do-over—you need to see it in real time to capture the right prices.

DXY

DXY is showing strength: top end of the RANGE is above TREND, and it’s holding a firm bullish TRADE. This is where it should turn lower—but if it doesn’t, be ready to cut FX longs. The dollar could have another leg up if it turns bullish TRADE TREND.

Aussie

The Aussie is by far the strongest FX long signal right now. Notice how clean these charts are? Bullish TRADE and TREND, with RANGE sitting clearly above both. That’s exactly what we’ve been hunting across global macro—and those are the positions printing day after day.

GLD

Bullish TRADE and TREND—the math told you to get in much lower. If anything, you should have been selling into the top end of the RANGE, not buying there.

IBIT

I don’t often focus on TAIL because the yearly duration isn’t super actionable day-to-day. Within TAIL, TRADE and TREND give you everything you need to execute. It’s included with Similar Set Signal—just switch to the weekly timeframe on TradingView.

For example, IBIT broke TRADE and ran straight down to TREND, which sat well above RANGE in a clear bearish setup. It was an obvious short without needing extra complexity. Start by mastering just TRADE and TREND.

But to get started, you need the fractal math indicator itself.

Ready to stop guessing and start seeing the math in real time?

Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and get the exact fractal math indicators that have been guiding these moves across sectors, macro, and volatility. Don’t wait to be told where the money is—see it for yourself.

90-DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE

What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?

Your Signal is already paying off nicely

This is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missing

What a game changer

Accelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believe

This is the tool I needed!

For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub

My win percentage has gone roof"

If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you!

Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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