Tuesday, February 17, 2026


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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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"Process beats performance art every time as Signals front run the Quads and get you out of consensus bag holdings like QQQ, Bitcoin." — Keith McCullough

I used to get incredibly frustrated when a signal would flip, but I had no way to see the actual breakdown in real time. I'd wait for an alert that might never come—or catch the explanation on a morning show the day after the move, already too late to act.

Now, I can't imagine trading without knowing exactly where TRADE and TREND sit for every ticker in my portfolio—and I don't have to but neither do you.

Similar Set Signal gives you that clarity instantly, and it comes with a 90-day money-back guarantee. Imagine having had this signal right on your screen for the last three weeks. Here's what it would have shown you:

VIX

Wednesday, February 4, 2026 :

Could you tell the difference between "buy the dip" and a "warning shot"? Both times VIX hit 20, but the fractal setups were completely different.

As of Friday's close, you would have seen VIX turn bullish TRADE, marking the third overrun of TREND with higher lows in the RANGE. The warning shot is now leaning toward a break of TREND—something that hasn't happened since November 18.

Tuesday, February 10, 2026 :

I challenge you to go back and reread old posts. The market gave clear, real-time signals on what to do—but it's impossible to spot them without studying the fractal math as it develops. That's how you master money management.

IWM

Did you sell some at the top end of the RANGE (3% higher) before this move unfolded?

QQQ

Friday, February 13, 2026 :

"Out of any tech dip"

The signal showed early weakness: the low end crossed TREND on Feb 4, followed by a close below TREND the next day. Then QQQ failed to reclaim TREND—it got rejected squarely at TRADE.

Study these charts. The next setups look very different, and the results are dramatically different—even in the same market environment.

Sector Signals

XLP

Bullish TRADE + TREND at the low end of the RANGE → up 10% in 10 days, while money stayed exposed to QQQ.

XLI

Same fractal setup, different sector, same strong result.

XLU

This wasn't a long in Quad 1 when the "get in" signal fired. Quad 3 only appeared in headlines after the fact. The signal front-runs the Quads—and it nailed this sector rotation perfectly.

XLE

Watch for a pullback to the low end of the RANGE in XLE. It would sit above both TRADE and TREND—details you could never know without the math. You could have had a limit order waiting at 51.65, confident in the exact fractal setup.

XLY

Entered Nov 26. Three full RANGE round trips during Quad 1, then exit last week on close below TREND. You simply aren't performing at your peak if you can't see this math live.

XLF

Exit Jan 23. Notice how signal strength varies dramatically across sectors.

Macro Markets

Few people truly diversify because they build positions on "conviction." It's impossible to craft a story for every ticker, and most never look beyond U.S. equities or highly correlated assets like crypto.

My only "conviction"? Bullish TRADE + TREND with price at the low end of the RANGE.

GVAL

Global equities are in the bull market everyone wishes U.S. stocks were in. The signal showed the difference in real time.

These global tickers aren't new—did you catch the dip in GVAL, or did you wait for me or someone else to point it out after the move was already underway?

It was simply bullish TRADE + TREND at the RANGE.

EEM

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Same fractal set appeared in EEM 10 days earlier.

DXY

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

"Don't chase"

Now DXY is back at the top end of the RANGE, but it's in bullish TRADE with TRADE sitting in the middle of the RANGE. Every detail matters. The signal will tell me when it's time to reload FX.

Aussie

But you should already be in FX making money on what has already offered you.

GLD

The signal said buy the dip 11 days ago (3% lower). If you executed, well done. Now the low end of the RANGE is surging higher and about to cross TREND—a major sign of strengthening.

SLV

The signal said get out of silver. It's down 13% since the same moment it told you to buy the dip in gold. The RANGE jumped significantly, but that's about the only similarity. Not the same fractal set. Bearish TRADE and TREND.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin's math finally shifted. The RANGE is compressed to almost nothing, and TRADE sits below the low end—a rare setup for a bearish TREND.

Still no longs, but definitely no shorts while in bullish TRADE at the RANGE. The next fractal short would come at TREND ~79K (review the handbook if you're unfamiliar with the 5 fractal setups).

Hundreds of you read these posts day after day but still don't have the Signal on your screen. I promise you—relying on half the information is a terrible way to invest your money. Pay for the math. Then let the math pay you. Get the Similar Set Signal on your screen today you'll have the best trading year of your career.

90-DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE

What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?

Your Signal is already paying off nicely

This is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missing

What a game changer

Accelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believe

This is the tool I needed!

For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub

My win percentage has gone roof"

If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you!

Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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