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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Two weeks ago: Buy the dip in the strongest U.S. sectors (XLI, XLP).

Last week: Buy the dip in Gold, FX (emerging markets), and standout tickers like Google (GOOGL) and QTUM.

This week: Take some profits on those well-timed dips. Ride the rest of your winners. Wait patiently for the next clear setup.

By the time you're "ready" to act, the move is usually already over. Today is not a day to force new positions. It's a day to review your process—because the real opportunities were buying steadily from January 30 through last week.

Want to master this game? Study the signals with timestamps: https://similarset.kit.com/posts​

VIX

VIX has officially closed back below the Similar Set TRADE level. Right now the math points to 15.71 (RANGE).

HYG

High Yield just completed a full 360-degree turnaround at TREND. Next we want to see the low end of the RANGE cross above TREND, with the top end beginning to lift.

MOVE

Bond volatility remains firmly in a bearish TREND.

Together, VIX + HYG + MOVE are all saying the same thing: the Quad 4 moment is over.

The real question: Did you see it unfold in real time? What would have happened to your portfolio if it had turned into a full Quad 4 crash? Remember last November—everyone thought the crash was coming in December. By the time most people were "ready" to act on the data, it was already over. They sold the lows and missed the big 2026 recovery.

Similar Set Signal solves exactly this problem.
Process = Signal → Quad.

QQQ

No change in Nasdaq. Still bearish TRADE / bullish TREND.

If VIX drops toward the low end of its RANGE, that should flip QQQ back to bullish TRADE + TREND, setting up acceleration toward the top of the RANGE.

META

The best fractal buy setups for today are in tech—but that doesn't mean you shouldn't already seen better buying setups like GOOGL or QTUM (which we reviewed yesterday).

Meta gave a counter-TREND signal before rallying 17%. After a move like that, take some profits. Now you can buy back as it holds TREND and starts to separate from bullish TRADE.

NVDA

Another fractal setup today.

IWM

Small caps already completed their fractal signal. Today the Similar Set Signal is showing: take some profits and rotate into stronger tech signals. It's been spot-on.

XLI

You don't get to go back and buy at the low end of the RANGE. To execute properly, you need bullish TRADE + TREND and price sitting at RANGE in real time—that's when you pull the trigger.

XLP

Take some profits, but keep riding your winners. You never know when the next fractal buy signal will appear until it's here.

Macro Markets

DXY

Dollar had its move off TREND. Now the low end of RANGE is rising while it holds bullish TRADE. Don't chase FX here—the time to execute was three days ago. You don't get a redo.

Aussie

With equal-weight positioning, this 8% move in AUD since the fractal entry signal is roughly equivalent (volatility-adjusted) to the crypto crash.

ETH shows 8% risk, while AUD shows only 0.8%—but the move is the same size when adjusted. Which means you should have positions 10 times bigger in FX vs Crypto.

Most people were bag-holding crypto and missed being long FX. But that's exactly what the signal called for. It's just math—no narratives.

GLD vs SLV

Yes, silver outperformed gold over the last 3 days on an absolute basis. But if you're following the process, you shouldn't be in silver. Why? Bearish TREND. (Same rule we applied to MSFT yesterday—never hold bearish TRENDs.)

The process said: buy more gold and skip the "lucky" silver bounce. Equal-weight the positions—so if gold rises 2% and silver rises 8%, you still make roughly the same amount. That's professional risk management.

URA

Gold > Silver, and add URA.

How?

While metals were in a raging bubble printing sell some signals while URA quietly printed a counter-TREND signal. URA ran over 30%. Then metals popped (SLV broke, GLD held), while URA retraced to its first fractal buy since flipping bullish TREND.

You don't have to trade what everyone else is trading. Read the math. Execute quietly.

Bitcoin

Sit tight. Nothing to do in crypto yet.

Stop missing moves and start acting in real time

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