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Welcome back Reader! Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile How to Read ChartLeft Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND) Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)
“Markets aren't logical. They're fractal. The human brain craves linear cause-and-effect. The Machine generates self-similar patterns across multiple timeframes that repeat” — Keith McCullough
That’s why the Similar Set Signal is your edge above all else. Markets can be confusing. For instance, it was supposed to be Quad 2, but now it’s Quad 1, with a quarterly Quad 2, a monthly Quad 3 in November, and Quad 4 in December. “WTF do I do with that?!”The answer is simple: follow the Similar Set Signal in real-time to stay ahead. Here’s how it works: VIXYesterday, when the VIX spiked above 20, did you panic? Or did you see the opportunity? After breaking back to a bearish TRADE/TREND, the risk wasn’t what it seemed—it was a chance to act. NasdaqWhen the VIX hit its TREND, I acted. I rotated from small caps to large caps, adding to Nasdaq at the TRADE level. Why? The Signal showed Tech was stronger, and the upcoming monthly Quad setup confirmed it. (More on this below) Entry: 24,825 (green arrow) Russell 2000On Friday, the VIX closed bearish TRADE/TREND, making it clear to trade the Russell’s bullish TRADE breakout. After a 2% bounce and the second-largest two-day VIX collapse, I sold some. When the Russell dipped and broke TRADE again, I pivoted. During the mid-day panic, Google didn’t even reach TRADE. Did you see the chance to buy at the low end of its bullish TRADE/TREND range and add on the dip? The Signal made it clear. TTWOKeith signaled he was buying TTWO, but you shouldn’t need to wait for his moves. What if he retires? What would you do then? With the Similar Set Signal, you can see what Keith sees: TTWO was in a bullish TRADE/TREND at the low end of its range, making it an obvious buy. CreditQ1 2026 may bring a broadening, but the next two months won’t. We’re moving from Quad 1 to Quad 3 to Quad 4 on a monthly basis. That’s why I rotated from small caps to Nasdaq and why investment-grade credit (LQD) has outperformed high-yield credit (HYG). LQDBuying with both hands at arrows. HYGThe Signal showed weakening strength, a broken TRADE/TREND, and a big lower high. With the Signal, you can read markets in real-time. 2YR vs 10YR2YR (Fed Front-Runner): Bouncing after an extended move at the low end of its range. With the Fed cutting rates next week, expect it to stay flat as longer-duration yields rise. 10YR: More room to run, especially with tomorrow’s accelerating inflation CPI print. Both remain in bearish TRADE/TREND, so no major bond market shift yet. The Similar Set Signal flagged in real-time that Quad 2 failed on October 9th breaking back to bearish TRADE within a bearish TREND. DXYDollar up, rates up = Quad 2. That’s why assets are ripping today. Even without the expected Quad 2, you should’ve been profiting. The Signal called the turn in the dollar, so I deployed capital to FX —not chasing mania in stocks or metals, but seeing the market turn in real-time. YENOne of the longest lessons it took me to learn: equal-weight your positions. Currencies and credit can deliver as much as small caps if sized correctly. Entry: red arrow GoldGold remains below TRADE. I didn’t add on the way down or at the low end of the range. Instead, I went for Platinum. Expect Gold to recover TRADE after the CPI print, as rates ease in their bearish TRADE/TREND. PlatinumEntry: green arrow Why Subscribe to Similar Set Signal?Just one of these opportunities can cover a lifetime subscription to the Similar Set Signal, unlocking endless possibilities to see and seize market moves. Don’t miss out—subscribe now and start seeing the market like never before. What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?Your Signal is already paying off nicelyThis is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missingWhat a game changerAccelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believeThis is the tool I needed!For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub90 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE
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No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...