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Keep longing the bubble until the bubble pops. What does that look like? A break in TRADE is the first sign. You aren’t getting that in the VIX or any US indices. Stick to the math. People have been talking themselves out of this market since April 8th — the whole way up. Just follow the math.
VIX just missed the top end of the RANGE today and is now looking toward the low end. Are you trying to call the top, or are you following the fractal math?
Bond volatility’s RANGE is on the move and also looks ready to head lower.
Credit is holding its bullish TREND with a lot of room to the upside. As the crowd gets more anxious about a top, the math underneath is actually strengthening.
QQQ had its biggest drop since May 19th coming out of the AI bubble, but it still didn’t quite reach the low end of the RANGE.
The Mag 7 did reach that level, however. These prices look like an area for loading up — not worrying about whether this is the top.
Small caps are performing best today. They are consolidating at all-time highs with new highs still inside the RANGE. This is not bearish or even overbought from a fractal standpoint.
Respect the fractal math. This recent bullish TREND started at $56. The signal has now flipped to bearish TRADE/TREND, with risk to the downside. I would not be long Oil in any form here. You don’t have to short it, but why risk capital in a ticker like this when names like MAGS are available? This is why it’s essential to have the math on your screen. It makes the right move abundantly obvious — no headlines, no fundamental research, no opinions needed. Just follow the fractal math. It got you in at $56 and now it’s getting you out.
The Dollar is in a bullish TRADE/TREND, but the TREND is still stuck in the middle of the RANGE and can’t break out. Again, why allocate to a mixed signal like this versus a massive bubble offering 75% win-rate dips? The only answers are that you either don’t have the fractal math making it obvious, or you don’t fully trust it yet and aren’t executing.
The math told you to take profits. Today it is almost back at the low end of the RANGE — a fresh spot to load up again.
This is what a breakdown will look like.
Is any of this happening in US equities? No. That means ignore the people calling for the bubble to burst and make sure you are REDUCING rate exposure like TLT.
If you have other rate exposure like EQRR, this would be a good time to take HEAVY profits instead of just some profits — especially with signs that inflation is also waning in commodities.
Fractal math really helps in downtrends while everyone else is trying to buy “the dip” (which isn’t a dip). People get tempted because it looks oversold, or it looked like this in 2023, or whatever narrative gives them confidence. The fractal math said yesterday that it would take a lot more to turn back bullish. So while the average person feels enticed to buy, I’m more convinced to wait.
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