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Thursday, February 26, 2026
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VIX
The VIX is in a dangerous zone and could explode higher.
Similar Set TREND level dipped to 18.24, so now VIX is holding a bullish TRADE TREND and RANGE.
This is a strong spot to add hedges or take shorts.
QQQ
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
QQQ's TREND jumped today to 615 (from 609), while TRADE and RANGE held firm.
If you chased the breakout yesterday, it's because you couldn't see the math—tech never offered a long setup.
Read more about the Similar Set indicator and how the numbers work in the article below.
http://x.com/i/article/2024947582485544960
NVDA
Was the NVDA earnings report leaked? Maybe—but it doesn't matter if you have the Similar Set Signal. It flags when information hits the insiders. It's all priced in, in real time.
NVDA turned bullish TREND on Feb 9.
On earnings day, it spiked outside the top of RANGE (classic "sell the news").
Now it's back at bullish TRADE TREND and RANGE.
I'm not buying tech overall (see the bearish signals in VIX and QQQ), but if you want NVDA exposure, this is the level to enter from. Bullish TRADE TREND at RANGE.
Sector Signal
Feel like you missed the move and don't want to jump in "late"? That's just emotion talking—and it leads to more missed trades.
The math keeps it simple and consistent: A bullish TRADE TREND with RANGE above both means it's not late by definition.
Late would be things like bearish TRADE or price is at top end of the RANGE.
XLP
There's always an excuse not to execute. But with objective, math-based decisions—where you own and see all the levels—that's how you win consistently.
XLI
Did you buy Industrials, or are you holding back because it feels "late"?
XLE
XLE is up +2% today. With real-time access to the math, it looks just as obvious in real time as it does now in hindsight. You should have been ready to buy these prices days ago.
XOP
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
It gave a second chance today—and it's up 3%.
XLF / SEF (Inverse)
Can't short directly or prefer not to? Use an inverse ETF and treat it like any other long position.
Just search "inverse ETF for XLF" to find one. The Similar Set Signal models anything.
ProShares Short Financials
Diversify. Equal-weight. Execute on fractal signals.
Never worry about Ai taking away your ability to make money.
Macro Markets
Staples, Industrials, Energy, and Financials are just a few opportunities in U.S. equities. The Similar Set Signal works anywhere—and macro delivers plenty of setups every day when you have full access to the math.
KOSPI
Up another 3.6% today, now +27.5% in 11 days since the Similar Set Signal flagged the buy.
Did it feel "late" to most investors? Yes. But not to anyone following the math and process.
GLD
Gold felt "late" in 2025 too—yet the last 8 fractal signals (including the one in 2026) were perfect buy timing.
MOO
I know nothing about agribusiness—except that it's in bullish TRADE TREND at RANGE. And that's all I need.
USO
Oil pulled back from the top of RANGE. Did you buy on the 12th, sell some on the 19th, then buy back energy stocks with profits?
That's exactly what the signal called for—check the timestamps. The math was spot-on again.
TLT
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Today
DXY
The dollar looks ready to move higher.
It's holding bullish TRADE, sitting near TREND, with RANGE pulling further away.
Aussie
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Did you take profits at the top end of the RANGE?
YEN
Yen and Euro—the two biggest FX pairs—are both bearish on a fractal basis.
EURO
Ready to short if TREND breaks? Notice how different this setup looks from Aussie.
IBIT
(Using no weekend/after-hours data) Bitcoin is in a clear bearish TRADE TREND at RANGE—short signal.
Bitcoin
With 24/7 data, it's in a counter-TREND move. Same math, different dataset.
I lean toward not selling after a 50% drop already, but you can wait for IBIT data to align. It's personal preference when you own the Similar Set Signal.
Video recap here:
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Similar Set Signal
No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Crash calls require signal, not narrative. The key is identifying emergent properties across similar sets, fractal dimensions, and multiple durations." — Keith McCullough If you are freaking out...