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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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I still remember those mornings waking up feeling completely lost in the markets—overwhelmed by endless news flow, never truly seeing the underlying math, just waiting for alerts or copying what someone else was doing.

Then I built the Similar Set Signal, and everything changed overnight.

Suddenly, I could see the entire market machine as a fractal structure. Any ticker, any time—I could instantly map its exact fractal setup. Now I wake up, measure, map, and execute 100% independently.

Here’s what the math is saying today:

VIX

VIX has been forming a series of higher lows since December 24 (low of 13.38). Once it broke TRADE, it accelerated toward TREND—a classic buy-the-dip fractal setup. Business as usual… until February 3. Instead of making new lows back toward 13, it broke TRADE again. That was a major fractal shift.

Since then, we’ve seen morning spikes toward TREND, only to close back around bullish TRADE by the end of the day.

Pressure is building, but there’s no clear fractal momentum play yet. It’s a wait-and-watch: see whether TREND or TRADE breaks first. The RANGE sits outside both durations (top above TREND, bottom below TRADE).

In setups like this, the rule stays the same: follow the fractal math on each individual ticker, stay extremely disciplined, and hold only the strongest signals. (adding shorts is a way to diversify. )

HYG

​Wednesday, February 18, 2026​

Credit is showing a much stronger signal—and it’s doing exactly what the math predicted yesterday.

MOVE

​Wednesday, February 18, 2026​

"Expect a rejection at TREND"

Boom.

VIX, bond vol, and credit are not signaling an immediate market collapse like everyone on X believes. They’re simply in shitty fractal setups that they can’t see are shitty—and that’s exactly why so many are struggling in 2026, it's not a 'bad' market, nothing changed in the process.

Same math, same execution, different tickers.

IWM

No change in small caps: still bullish TRADE and TREND. Core position should date back to November 25 when the fractal math gave the green light.

QQQ

A complete 180 here.

Nasdaq is now bearish TRADE and TREND, with a clear rejection at TREND and RANGE racing toward it. Clear downside risk. If it starts accelerating, IWM will likely break TRADE (they’re highly correlated), triggering a reduce signal.

You should already be out of all tech plays until the signal flips.

That’s the rule—and there are plenty of other opportunities out there.

CIRCL

I’m not broadly short tech, but the weakest sectors lately? Software and crypto. Which name just flashed a short signal? Circle—a software/crypto company.

Same fractal setup as our buys, just inverted.

Price sits at RANGE while below bearish TRADE + TREND.

Sector Signals

XLP

Same setup, but long. Bullish TRADE + TREND with RANGE sitting above both. It’s not quite at RANGE, but very close. How you add incrementally is your call—I just show what the fractal math says.

ITB

Identical long setup. This is the exact pattern I scan for every day across the board, then execute.

XLU

Fractal math called the breakout. Now waiting for price to catch up—low end of RANGE is rising while holding bullish TRADE and TREND.

XLY

Another one to short. When math breaks fractal durations, acceleration becomes possible. It just broke (telling you to exit completely), then snapped back to TREND (double red arrows).

Macro Markets

A diversified book means different assets, equally weighted, strongest signals only (long and short).

TUR

Dec 3 → enter.

Dec 22 → add.

Today → add again.

Three clean signals in 78 days.

Discipline means executing only at RANGE within the correct fractal structure. You don’t need more trades—you need ONLY the right ones.

KOSPI

Up another 3% today. Did you buy on the 6th?

USO

Up 6.8% since the math said buy. Were you distracted by headlines, quads, narratives… or were you seeing the math and executing?

TLT

Long-term bonds broke down Dec 1. The signal flashed a counter-trend before the breakout.

It's probably just luck, right? Or is the math that accurate?

DXY

Fractal looks a lot like current VIX—bearish TREND, bullish TRADE.

Hope you didn’t chase the 11th move (newsletter said exactly that).

Today we’re at TREND—good spot to add FX exposure.

If price breaks TREND (~0.6% above, volatility-adjusted), exit.

Simple: patience, discipline, clear plan.

CAD

Canadian dollar is FX of choice.

Bullish TRADE TREND at RANGE.

Good ole Aussie isn't at the RANGE. Too strong.

YEN

Interesting spot—not positioning yet, but note: bullish YEN often correlates with Quad 4 conditions and heavily influences DXY. If YEN breaks down, DXY likely breaks bullish TREND. If YEN holds, VIX may be primed for its own breakout.

These are all hypothetical scenarios, I don't know which will play out and that’s exactly why it’s so important to stay diversified across small caps, various U.S. sectors, oil, global equities, FX, gold, shorts, and more.

If you tried to build a narrative and strong conviction for every single one of those diversified assets, you’d need an entire research team and a hedge-fund infrastructure behind you.

With the Similar Set Signal, you don’t need any of that. You simply get really good at reading the math—and the math handles the rest.

GLD

Very few managed gold well during that volatile stretch.

Similar Set Signal thrived.

Without me saying—can you read whether this is gaining or losing strength?

That’s the clarity I want for every one of you.

I’m not special. Keith isn’t special. We just learned to see the math clearly and got disciplined at executing it.

Anyone can do this.

Start your path to mastering the markets. Get the Similar Set Signal on your screen today. It’s lifelong ownership: pay once for the math, so the math can keep paying you.

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Your Signal is already paying off nicely

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What a game changer

Accelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believe

This is the tool I needed!

For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub

My win percentage has gone roof"

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