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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Markets aren’t about what has happened or what will happen. They’re about what’s happening right now. The more you train yourself to see the objective math and execute consistently over time, the more you win. It doesn’t matter if you held shorts too long. It doesn’t matter if you missed adding at the first signal in early April. It doesn’t matter if you finally got in and positions are temporarily going against you. Simply read the fractal math today and execute.

I’ll be out of town through Monday, so the next newsletter will arrive on Tuesday, May 5th. You don’t need me to tell you what to do—you need the same math I use, right on your screen.

VIX

If you were patient yesterday, you were able to add at VIX 19 after Powell’s final press conference. Today we’re sitting at the low end of the RANGE.

​Wednesday, April 29th, 2026​

IWM

What was showing a clear fractal signal while VIX was at 19? Small caps. You have to be able to execute in real time. Ignore the headlines and keep your focus on the math.

MOVE

Bond volatility is finally delivering an overbought fractal signal after breaking its bearish TREND back on April 6th. Buy when the market is panicking.

​Wednesday, April 29th, 2026​

HYG

Bullish TRADE/TREND at the low end of the RANGE means we can expect higher prices soon.

QQQ

Nasdaq hasn’t come near the low end of the RANGE, so we added to IWM. Go back and read the April 8th newsletter and picture yourself executing what the math showed that day. This was the expected path.

​Wednesday, April 8, 2026​

META

This is exactly why I prefer ETFs and generally avoid individual earnings plays. On a double beat and strong fractal signal, you still get this kind of randomness.

MAGS (Mag 7)

Stick mostly to ETFs and reduce exposure during earnings season. I’d buy heavily here if you’re still under-exposed to QQQ. This feels like one of those recurring timestamps I’ll reference for a while—it doesn’t get much better than this early in a new bullish TREND.

Sector Signals

XLI

It’s been a while since U.S. equities were in a bullish TRADE/TREND and pulled back to the low end of the RANGE. The last time was January 2026. This is what buying the dip feels like. Everyone is scared about something, while the math remains very clear.

​Tuesday, April 28th, 2026​

XLY

All the sectors we’ve been tracking are in strong fractal positions. Stay patient and execute.

XLF

XLRE

XLC

COIN

Crypto equities bounced directly off the Similar Set TREND. The math continues to be very accurate.

Macro Markets

DXY

The dollar was in a bullish TRADE/TREND but with weak fractal structure—meaning the TREND was in the middle of the RANGE and rising while we headed into a Fed chair transition. I was never interested in going long the dollar. Remember, you don’t have to take every signal—you just can’t go against the signal. I chose to wait and watch.

​Wednesday, April 29th, 2026​

GVAL

A bearish TRADE TREND on DXY means it’s time for global equities to run toward the top end of the RANGE. Make sure you’re diversified across assets.

USO

Not bearish on oil overall, but this looks like panic gapping outside the top end of the RANGE. It’s a good spot to sell some and lighten positioning if you’re still holding any.

EQRR

EQRR has been the best bond ticker to hold. Keep your core position and trade around the RANGE.

GLD

Gold is getting a bounce but still looks weak overall.

ETH

Crypto has struggled more than expected after such a long, brutal decline since October. Take this as a gift—extra time to get positioned. The first time we hit the low end of the RANGE in a bullish TREND after a 65% drawdown is another timestamp buy I’ll likely reference for a while.

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