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Welcome back Reader! Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile How to Read ChartLeft Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND) Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)
"Meanwhile, the battle-tested power users of the process stay calm, disciplined, and patient. They add to Core Asset Allocations when I do—not after prices rip double digits higher." - Keith McCullough
Ask yourself “what did I do last week? How did I behave in real time?” Ask yourself, “What did I do last week? How did I behave in real time?”I used to panic, believe headlines, and make terrible decisions during high volatility events. It’s almost impossible to avoid, which is why these mistakes repeat. It's just human behavior at large enough scale. Most people can’t help themselves because they lack a process. Last week, thanks to the Similar Set Signal, I knew exactly what to do and when. Most of the week, I waited and watched in equities, capitalized on dips during credit panic, entered core positions in FX, and shorted some crypto. I stayed calm, disciplined, and focused on signal changes. VIXClosed bearish TRADE/TREND. I knew precisely when to act, and it happened at the end of Friday.
HYGHigh yield confirmed the panic was over for now, closing bullish TRADE/TREND. Russell 2000What did I do? I entered the Russell before its 2% move today. How? The Similar Set Signal. Covered XRPAs the transition unfolded, I covered my XRP short in crypto—a small win that protected me from downside when the crowd panicked, then covered as the real panic passed, with it closing back to bullish TRADE. Crypto USDT.DUSDT remains in bullish TRADE TREND, but I’m not shorting pullbacks to TRADE in tokens since it’s not Quad 4. We just had a Quad 4 moment, and signals suggest waiting and watching with a bias toward a bearish TRADE/TREND break—though no position yet. URNJLonging US equities and covering crypto weren’t the only moves. Did you notice Uranium Miners on sale at the low end of the range within bullish Similar Set TRADE/TREND? KREIf you wanted to believe the panic, the Signal showed where to short. A textbook bullish to bearish TREND shift:
$KRE dropped over 8% since Wednesday at bearish TRADE after breaking bearish TREND near the top end of the range (second red arrow). DXYUSD held TREND and is now attempting to climb back above TRADE. I added FX shorts on the first green arrow, still waiting for TRADE to break to incrementally add to those positions. YENPerfect confluence at the top end of the range, with bearish TRADE and TREND. See how clear this was versus the hectic nature of Equities last week? FXEAnother successful bullish to bearish TREND shift.
Fractally, this is how it happens every time. Rates2YR bounced off the low end of the range but still holds bearish TRADE. CPI Friday should bring macro tourism and hedging events. Just read the signal. GoldRates bouncing triggered a pullback in precious metals, with Gold bouncing the strongest. SilverI wasn't adding to Silver at TRADE due to its parabolic run. You should have core positions from much lower. It can keep going, so I’m not selling, but I’m cautious—this is an historic run. OilQuad 2 is good for Oil… but wait now it's not Quad 2? That's why it's SIGNAL → Quad. The Similar Set Signal told you to do the opposite of the Quad expectation—shorting from the break back to bearish TRADE within bearish TREND, now down over 11%. XLEYet another example of a bullish to bearish TREND shift.
The top end of the range is trying to cross TREND, with multiple closes and separation before TREND. You should already be out of Energy equities. Perform at Your PeakThe Similar Set Signal gets you OUT of losers and INTO big winners before they take off, with plenty of incremental moves along the way. Without it, you’re not performing at your peak in markets. Period. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today to stay ahead of the market and maximize your performance. What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?Your Signal is already paying off nicelyThis is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missingWhat a game changerAccelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believeThis is the tool I needed!For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub90 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE
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""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...