|
Welcome back Reader! Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile How to Read ChartLeft Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND) Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)
"The defining characteristic of people who panic are they don’t know what they are doing." - Keith McCullough
That used to describe me. When days like Friday hit, I’d be panicking with the crowd.Without the Similar Set Signal, I couldn’t see what TRADE and TREND were signaling. This past Friday? No panic. Let’s start with Crypto, which got absolutely rekt. I’d never seen anything like it, even during Covid crash. But I exited hours before the chaos unfolded. How? The Similar Set Signal gave me clear instructions: “A close above TRADE is my exit.” 11 AM: Confirmed bullish TRADE and TREND. Full exit. Now, Crypto USDT in bearish TRADE and TREND, but volatility is sky-high. I’m waiting and watching until the close before adding back. VIXThe Signal flagged risk brewing since October 1st, when VIX broke into bullish Similar Set TRADE and held. By the time it crossed 18, it was no longer a “buy the dip” moment—it was in bullish TRADE and TREND. Caution remains if VIX doesn’t close bearish on TRADE or TREND. Patience is key until those closes materialize. Oct 2ndNasdaqWhat did the Signal say? Do nothing. It held TREND, so selling was off the table. If you’ve been buying every dip since May, your average position price should be well below the range, letting you see this dip clearly. LQDWhat didn’t panic? Credit. Another signal that this was just a Trump Tweet storm, not a systemic collapse. Thursday Oct 9thPhillip Morris PMIf you weren't position with an asymmetric portfolio, you could’ve added shorts like PM at TRADE within a bearish TREND. GoldA well-positioned portfolio needs asymmetry—assets that don’t correlate, protecting you on days like Friday. Gold and other precious metals should’ve offset any temporary equity losses. SilverSilver surged nearly 7% since Friday’s panic. Did you buy the dip? Gold, Platinum, and Palladium didn’t pull back to TRADE, but Silver was the opportunity of the day—bullish in both TRADE and TREND. You’d only execute with confidence and consistency if you had the Similar Set Signal on your screen in real-time. DXYAnother clue risk was building via the fractal gods? Rates were bearish TRADE and TREND, while DXY was bullish TRADE and TREND. Rates ↓ Dollar ↑ = Quad 4 2YRDXYThis doesn’t mean the data was saying Quad 4, but the flows hinted at it. I’m not predicting a Feb-Apr Quad 4 crash, but it’s worth noting. Expect rates to bottom soon with max cowbell and government data showing inflation, not deflation. FXEWant more asymmetry? Short FX on bounces. DXY just turned bullish in TRADE and TREND, signaling Quads 2 and 1 ahead. A lot of opportunities coming next few months. Take Control with Similar Set SignalDon’t get caught panicking with the crowd. The Similar Set Signal gives you the clarity to act decisively, whether it’s exiting Crypto or buying Silver’s dip. Subscribe now to trade with confidence, not chaos. What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?Your Signal is already paying off nicelyThis is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missingWhat a game changerAccelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believeThis is the tool I needed!For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub90 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE
If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you! |
No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...