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Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Macro Newsletter Book

VIX

Could you see on January 21 that the Similar Set TREND was actually outside the RANGE, rejecting price?

Did you notice this morning's Similar Set TRADE at 17.50 holding price there—before it pulled back to 16?

I can't help you make decisions in real time, but the Similar Set Signal can.

You should have been buying the damn dip. Instead, most traders were distracted by the latest macro tourist headline—government shutdown fears or whatever else was trending that day.

Dow Jones

I bought the dip in the Dow Friday morning. Macro tourists are freaking out over shutdown talk, yet the index closed above TRADE with separation after reclaiming and holding inside a bullish TREND.

Russell 2000

I also added small caps at Friday's close when a Fractal Signal appeared. This was the first touch of TRADE since the breakout.

The process said add—so I added. I don't chase what isn't there.

Sector Signal

XLI (Industrials)

I bought the Dow dip because industrials have been one of the strongest sectors, and Fractal Signals told you exactly when to act.

A bullish TRADE/TREND near the low end of the RANGE is a buy setup.

The official signal prints if price gets 0.3% above the RANGE (a "Pullback" arrow).

XLY (Consumer Discretionary)

This sector has printed buys since last week's zone. The process keeps working, completely unaffected by whatever narrative the internet cooked up.

XLP (Staples)

Staples have been tricky for most traders, but Similar Set + Fractal Signals nailed it—spotting an overrun without ever printing bearish TREND confirmation (no separation).

Now the low end of the RANGE has caught up, and price is close to another Fractal Signal. If it gets 0.3% above RANGE in this bullish TRADE/TREND setup, the first Pullback will print and signal a buy.

Notice how different this looks compared to Mag 7 or speculative plays that worked in Quad 2 but not in Quad 1 (crypto, for example).

The signal has shown the difference in real time.

Macro Markets

Gold

This single trade has already paid for 14 lifetime Similar Set Signal subscriptions in just 48 days.

Would I have sized up and held through the volatility without clearly seeing what the process was telling me? No chance.

Silver

Even less likely without the signal.

Silver ran from $30 in May to $80 in December. How many people bought the dip at $73 (Fractal Signal), watched it climb to $114, and paid for another 13 lifetime subscriptions?

The signal had you positioned before this move, but even starting flat on December 1, 2025, this is the opportunity it delivered—and I took every penny.

DXY

DXY is falling off a cliff, and the market is twisting the knife as I watch the Aussie rip higher after I didn't wait for the official "BREAK" in DXY TREND.

Aussie

Pain.

Cutting the position when DXY closed above TREND and Aussie was clearly in bearish TRADE made logical sense at the time—but it wasn't what the process called for.

Equal-weighted positioning (3k risk on 0.6% → 4% move = 20k missed).

Wrapping Up the Macro Newsletter Book

I'll be ending the Macro Newsletter Long/Short Book once these current positions run their course. It began as a way to prove the process works—not as a running showcase of my personal P&L.

Over time, it shifted into more of a diary of what I'm doing in the market, rather than a broader analysis of what the market is actually doing.

Launching the Fractal Signals product taught me a clear lesson: juggling too many hats leads to mistakes. That's why my next big focus is building a fully automated trading bot that runs this entire process on futures.

I'll continue delivering the daily newsletter—just without the live book component.

URA

After nailing U.S. equity sectors and showing the path in metals, what about commodities?

URA is up 20% since the counter-TREND Fractal Signal printed (second break of TRADE in the counter direction—the same setup Bitcoin just failed at, more on that below).

CANE

The Similar Set Signal works both ways.

This ticker appeared on the Similar Set Watchlist as it attempts a bearish-to-bullish transition.

Everyone wants to buy assets that have already crashed hard—that usually means catching knives and bag-holding. With Similar Set, you know exactly when the bottom is in. It hasn't printed yet, but it's one to watch.

Bitcoin

The process said exit on the break of TREND → "Flatten" printed.

As much promise as this fractal structure built over months, it can all flip in days. That doesn't mean it can't flip back—but today's (and every day's) theme is: listen to the PROCESS.

Not many people shorted from 110k, flipped long around 85k, then exited at 89k for a profit. (Well, besides every trader on X claiming it without timestamps.) The Similar Set Signal is timestamped and objective.

A break back above bullish TREND (currently ~90,880) gets another equal-weighted risk in my portfolio. Until then, the signal gives me plenty of other setups ready to play today.

If you want clear, objective signals like these—timestamped, process-driven, and free of narrative noise—subscribe to Similar Set Signal today. Stop guessing, start seeing what the market is actually doing.

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What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?

Your Signal is already paying off nicely

This is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missing

What a game changer

Accelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believe

This is the tool I needed!

For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub

My win percentage has gone roof"

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