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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Last week, I mentioned that once these positions ran their course, I'd stop sharing the macro futures book. Well, they've run their course.

The unsubscribe rate from this newsletter has actually increased a noticeable amount since I started it, which tells me most of you aren't interested in what I'm personally doing in the market—and honestly, that's fair. Most subscribers don't trade futures. It was a fun and lucrative experiment, but now I'm shifting back to what matters most: identifying what the market is doing for you, starting with cash-market tickers.

VIX

If you were on X over the weekend, you'd think the VIX was spiking toward 50.

In reality, it held TREND support around 20 two weeks ago and briefly overran TRADE just above 17. It never left the bearish TRADE/TREND setup.

Meanwhile, two sectors were flashing buy signals exactly when the dip should have been getting bought.

Sector Signals

Staples (XLP )

​Monday, January 26, 2026 :
​"Now the low end of the RANGE has caught up and price is close to another buy."

When the VIX gave the classic "buy the dip" signal by holding TRADE, where did you actually buy? Out of all the sectors, only two showed clear fractal buy signals. Both are now at the top end of their range—just one day later.

Industrials XLI

Last Monday:

Friday:

Industrials was the other sector giving a mathematical sign to buy the dip while the VIX was signaling the overall market. Today it touched the upper RANGE boundary.

IWM (Russell 2000)

Cash markets print less data—no overnight 4HR bars—so Similar Set TRADE calculations are more limited.

When the chart looks this clean and the amount of street panic tells you how many people struggle to manage markets. (I used to be one of them—that's why I built Similar Set Signal.)

A pullback to the low end of RANGE while still inside bullish TRADE/TREND is not a panic-sell zone.

QQQ

Bullish TREND + bullish TRADE.

The low end of RANGE sits below TRADE, so this isn't one of the five fractal opportunities (if you're unsure what that means, check the handbook at the top).

While not the strongest TREND, disciplined, patient traders with the signal on their screen have been making great decisions—while most people are losing their minds.

It's already hard enough to execute the right decision when you know what it is. Trying to figure out the right move before you even get to execution is impossible.

Macro Markets

In Macro Markets the buys were much earlier.

Gold, Silver, URA, and others were deep in the green from earlier signals. You can't "buy the dip" when something is already green. Now they're red.

You can't control market direction—you can only control your process and discipline. Getting Similar Set Signal on your chart will 10x both.

GLD (Gold)

Don't panic-sell the bounce.

Nowhere in the process does it say to chase bubbles higher.

The last fractal buy was ~35% lower in late October.

Scale with size when the fractals line up so you build a position you can actually sell into euphoria.
With discipline to enter only on strong fractal setups, you've captured most of this bull market—and you'd be positioned to buy the dip today.

Statistically, ~90% of participants lose money because they lack a real edge.

SLV (Silver)

Same story. If you lost money in metals, ask yourself: What's your process?

Over the past year, the Signal told you to buy in:

• April
• June
• July
• October

Right now I'm waiting and watching in silver—volatility was enough to break TREND per handbook rules, triggering the exit print. Gold is the dip to buy today in metals.

URA (Uranium)

Metals getting all the attention (as they should), but macro has plenty of other opportunities with far less volatility.

Rule of thumb: higher volatility = harder to manage, which is why so many get wrecked in metals and crypto.

How many are chasing the falling knife in silver instead of buying the dip in URA? The Signal says buy URA, not silver—but you wouldn't know without the math on your screen.

DXY

How many people are seeing this FX opportunity?

After last week's macro-tourist chatter, the dollar bounced and now offers a setup. Don't chase. Stay disciplined. Be able to go anywhere in the market and you'll feel far more in control during panic.

You should feel good about your process—not about what the market is doing day to day. Similar Set Signal solves exactly that problem.

British Pound FXB

Strong bullish TREND. Pulling back to TRADE is a spot to add. There's way more in markets than just silver and bitcoin.

US10Y

Bullish TREND since December 5. They just held bullish TRADE and could be setting up for another leg higher. Quad don't matter if the signal says otherwise. It would have saved you money here and the math still says rates aren't ready to drop.

Oil (USO)

Oil quietly climbed over 12% after signaling bullish Similar Set TREND (green arrow). Now it's pulling back to TRADE—similar fractal structure to FXB.

Bitcoin

Signal @similar_set Crypto doesn’t suck Your positioning sucks JAN 28 timestamp: "This is a clean 100% short setup—broke TREND and heading back to test bearish TRADE/TREND." If you are short from 89k you don’t think crypto sucks. Free to join for these updates: https://similarset.kit.com/signal 8:29 PM • Jan 31, 2026 1 Retweets 1 Likes

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It didn't matter that VIX was screaming "buy the dip" or that crypto was meeting at the White House.

The math was crystal clear: get out. At minimum, zero long exposure. At best, you captured 17% in under a week and sold more on the third straight day outside the low end of RANGE.

Crypto doesn't suck. Bad positioning sucks.

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