Friday, October 31st, 2025


Welcome back Reader!

Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile

How to Read Chart

Left Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND)

Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)

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If you're new to the Similar Set Signal, it might seem complicated at first—but there are only 3 places you should be making moves:

  • TRADE
  • TREND
  • RANGE

Even when multiple moves happen at those levels, you're still reacting in just 3 key areas.

If you're feeling overwhelmed with decisions,
Limit your exposure to broad indexes within asset classes:

  • Equities → Nasdaq
  • Metals → Gold
  • Bonds → TLT (30YR)
  • Commodities → Oil
  • Crypto → Bitcoin
  • FX → Yen

That’s only 6 positions to manage—each from a different asset class.

Most traders fall into the trap of holding 5 different stocks thinking they’re diversified.

Start simple:

1–2 tickers per asset class = max 12 positions.
It’s far better to practice executing in real time with focus than juggling noise.

What’s that portfolio missing based on the Similar Set Signal?

Bonds.

When you can SEE the signal, the days come to you. Today, I’m looking to get long bonds.

Fractally, rates are having the same opportunity as Oil and Gold and Canadian Dollar all had. It's. called a Similar Set.

  1. Strong TREND
  2. Break of TRADE
  3. Entry at the opposite end of the range

Review that post here: Tuesday, October 28th, 2025

30YR

Waiting for the 4HR close to confirm a reversal bar → then long TLT.

Equal-weight positions mean I’m just as excited for a bond move as a 3% Nasdaq dip.

Just look at the money made in FX.

Yen

Not many are excited about the Yen this week. Good. Less crowded, low-volatility assets = lower stress, smoother moves than headline assets like Bitcoin or equities.

CAD

Canadian dollar already made the move to what Bonds are offering today:

It's a Similar Set:

  1. Strong TREND
  2. Break of TRADE
  3. Entry at the opposite end of the range

(Ideally would’ve had a limit at TREND—but you can’t catch everything.)

DXY

The buy window has closed. Now: sell SOME into the top of the range. More dips will come. This is why you keep the signal on your screen—it makes it obvious not to chase FX here… Add to bonds instead.

Gold

Rates falling = bullish for gold. The upside could be violent—like a beach ball held underwater. Gold’s already working while rates lag.

Another Similar Set:

  1. Strong TREND
  2. Break of TRADE
  3. Entry at the opposite end of the range

Platinum

Been patient. Taking profits near the top of the range.

Notice anything about this chart (without labels)?

Another Similar Set:

  1. Strong TREND
  2. Break of TRADE
  3. Entry at the opposite end of the range

Nasdaq

This is why you want a diversified portfolio. Equities giving back gains while metals and FX push the portfolio to new highs. Waiting to add lower as this is a parabolic move still near the top end of the range. Not buying or selling here. Waiting and watching because I was able to buy at the green arrow with the Signal in real-time.

Russell 2000

Entered small caps, then pulled on TRADE break. Still in Nasdaq for exposure—waiting for a pullback in the stronger signal.

Vix

The range made a dramatic move downward, signaling strength. Adding here would be fine (low end at 12.43), but I’m waiting for the top end of the range near 18—already well-positioned from the first two red arrows.

China FXI

Trade deal hype fading?

China large caps broke bearish TRADE/TREND.

Oil

Exited right at the decision area. If it breaks TRADE I’ll look to reload the short, but worth noting the top end of the range is now ABOVE TREND and is respecting Bullish TRADE.

Waiting an watching.

(Rates falling = same thesis, stronger signal via decelerating inflation.)

Bitcoin

Bitcoin hates deflation—and often signals first (smaller, global, 24/7).

Just made a big lower high at TREND, failed at TRADE, now bouncing off the low end of the range back to bearish TRADE.

Short setting up for sub-100K.

See the pattern?

The Similar Set Signal turns chaos into clarity—across all asset classes. Want these daily insights on your screen 24/7? Subscribe to Similar Set Signal now and never miss a high-probability setup again.

What are customers saying about the Similar Set Signal?

Your Signal is already paying off nicely

This is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missing

What a game changer

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This is the tool I needed!

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Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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