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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile.

New Similar Set Handbook

Confused about what's going on in the newsletter?

(Over an hour of video content)

If you have the Similar Set Signal on your screen you won’t miss the buying opportunity. Are you going to buy the absolute bottom and ride it all the way to the top? No. Tops and bottoms are processes, not points. It’s not about being the very first one on the train—it’s about making sure you’re on board before it leaves the station.

Nasdaq

Panicking because you’re watching this equity rip and you’re not in it?This is exact price level where you should have been selling most—if not all—of your equity exposure: on the second failure of TRADE on November 13th.
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​Friday, November 14th, 2025​

Don't forget the signal got me to buy the bottom at TREND and told me to sell on the BLH (all timestamped)

If you followed the signal and sold there, you risked nothing by stepping back in now. All you did was properly manage the potential Quad 4 crash that never came. The signal is now telling us that Quad 4 risk is off the table (at least for the moment).

I’m personally still waiting for a pullback to TREND—that’s the next high-probability fractal entry—but to each their own. That’s precisely why everyone reading this should have the Similar Set Signal on their own screen. You don’t need me. You don’t need Keith. With the Signal, you have everything you need to manage your own positions confidently.

Quad 4 Indicators – Why the Signal is Non-Negotiable

Yes, the monthly Quad model flips to Quad 4 in December, but markets are forward-looking. Did the machine already front-run December by crashing in November and then consolidating so it can front-run Quad 1 into 2026? I don’t know… but if you waited until December to get bearish just because “it’s Quad 4,” you’d be on the complete wrong side of the market today.

VIX

Bearish TRADE/TREND (not Quad 4 right now)

HYG (High Yield Credit)

Bullish TRADE/TREND (not Quad 4 right now)

MOVE Index

Bearish TRADE/TREND (not Quad 4 right now)

Because of this clear shift away from Quad 4 pricing, my Long/Short Macro book currently has only three positions in it.

DXY

​Tuesday, November 25th, 2025 :

Conditional positioning: “If this happens, do this.”

That’s exactly what I did—I cut CAD exposure when DXY failed bullish TRADE the second time. Once TRADE breaks, price can get pulled down to TREND at 97.92. Does it have to go there? No. But that’s my base-case expectation until proven otherwise.

YEN

Hasn’t even broken TRADE once yet. Sitting tight while DXY holds bullish TREND.

Gold

​Wednesday, November 26th, 2025​

Doing exactly what the Similar Set Signal said it would. It’s not magic—it’s math.

Bonds

Bullish TRADE/TREND. Letting the bullish fractal play out.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin got its counter-trend move breaking above TRADE.

Could you see this move coming?

I have a short limit order sitting at $101,400 to front-run bearish TREND (don’t think we get there anytime soon, but you never know). Alternatively, any break back below bearish TRADE is an immediate short setup.

I always know my next move because the Signal shows the entire market as one collective picture. Last week it screamed Quad 4. This week it doesn’t. So instead of aggressively shorting a counter-trend reversal bar at the top of the range, I’m patiently letting Bitcoin work higher inside bullish TRADE (outlined in Opportunity #3 of the 5 core opportunities in the Similar Set Handbook).

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