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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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VIX

The Similar Set Signal makes it abundantly clear what you SHOULD do BEFORE the market makes its move. It is not always what you wanted to happen, and it is not always easy taking profits, reducing breaking signals, and exiting broken ones — but it is always abundantly clear.

MOVE

Bond volatility has almost collapsed to new lows after everyone became a treasury expert.

HYG

The credit signal is strengthening as both volatility indexes look to break to fresh lows. There will be a lot of people calling for the pop of this bubble the entire way up, but only the fractal math will accurately tell you. The rest is emotional noise.

QQQ

This chart is comical. Yes, it is overbought, but it has been this way since April 8th. Don’t forget the signal nailed the exact turn. If this market is frustrating you, it is because you did not act when it was tough to do so.

​Wednesday, April 8, 2026​

IWM

This week has been about taking SOME profits. Whatever “some” is to you — that is your process. But the fractal instructions are clear: take some off at the red line.

QTUM

This run has been so strong there has only been one touch of the low end of the RANGE (green line). Hope you saw it in real time and acted on it.

SMH

Macro Markets

Oil Futures

Third day of being below TREND while being the second break of TRADE occurs is a very bearish signal. You should be OUT of all oil positions.

DXY

The dollar is starting to strengthen its bearish signal. It needs more closes and separation, but this carries a heavily bearish bias. We will see how it opens starting next week.

EEM

Global equities are in a bull market. That does not mean you should not be taking SOME profits at the red line.

TLT

Bonds say short until TREND breaks. Remember the MOVE index chart? When you rip from the low end of the RANGE to the top right to TREND, this is a clear SHORT. If it breaks, simply exit — you know exactly when you are wrong.

GLD

Gold bugs, do not get too excited. Price is bouncing off the top end of the RANGE in a bearish TRADE/TREND. See — with the math you know exactly when to fade and when to flip long.

BTC

The Similar Set Signal told you to flip long Bitcoin on April 6th. It has not yet told you to get out. I marked the volatility-adjusted “break” of TREND with a red line at $71,360. These are not exact sciences, but I treat these as overruns. Bitcoin is on its final leg, and this is what I mean by: you do not always get what you want, but you know exactly when to act. Bitcoin clearing bullish TRADE above $75,300 would complete the dip and reverse to bullish TRADE/TREND structure. Be ready for an explosion upward if that happens — just as everyone turns bearish.

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