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Drop them on X: @Similar_set
25 games into the 2026 season, and this is how everyone feels without fractal math indicators:
But if you can see the math, you don’t have this problem. You are the few. Haven’t tried it yet? Give Similar Set Signal a shot—it’s completely risk-free for the first 90 days.
So how’d you do in that Quad 4 ‘moment’ OODA loop?
Warning shots firing.
No yard sales—just more warning shots.
Dips that were bought before the warning shots aren’t dips anymore.
The dips in XLI, XLP, and ITB never experienced the Quad 4 moment—the math already showed you exactly where to buy.
Dips bought during the warning shots were selective with profits from the actual “buy the damn dip” setups last week.
If you’re always waiting for someone else to tell you what to do, you’ll always be a day late and a dollar short.
All eyes on the VIX TREND.
Buy the damn dip: First break of TRADE pull to TREND ✅
Warning shot: Second break of TRADE counter-TREND fired. Expect the pop ✅
Once the warning shot fires, wait and watch where it lands. So far, it’s held. A close below TRADE would mean the warning shot is over.
Still holding TREND. The warning shot hasn’t fully landed here yet, but it looks like it’s coming in safely today.
Nowhere close to TREND—no warning shot yet.
Get VIX, HYG, and MOVE right, and you’ll get the next Quad 4 OODA loop right too.
Similar Set Signal didn’t miss.
The indicator is the map.
Reading the fractal cycle is the key.
Knowing the difference between a counter-TREND warning shot and a first pullback to TREND unlocks your ability to print money in markets.
Same clean fractal opportunity played out.
Map + key.
Now up ~5% since breaking Similar Set TREND.
No one said “yard sale.”
Said: diversify and follow the fractal math.
Told you to buy the dip last Friday… then hold. The math never broke Similar Set TREND or the broader TREND—that’s why you wait for close + separation.
Monday, January 26, 2026 :
"Notice how different this looks compared to Mag 7 or speculative plays that worked in Quad 2 but not in Quad 1 (crypto, for example)."
It’s wasn't luck. It’s math.
Similar Set Signal WHAT to buy and WHEN to buy.
Green arrows appear → you buy.
The fractal cycle rules are baked in.
You have to believe in something to execute in real time. Most people build “conviction” on stories. I believe in the math.
Bought emerging markets on sale yesterday? Did youdiversify the US equity / Google dip?
Did you buy $GLD and drop $SLV?
Did you make a ridiculous amount of money in both throughout 2025? The Signal didn’t just start on January 29 at the bull peak.
Today:
Today: Hit a brick wall—right at the Similar Set TREND.
Gold and FX were the focus. Gold's working. FX?
Good ol’ friend Aussie came through again. It’s been the strongest FX pair and isn’t disappointing today.
The lower it goes, the more you can make on the way back up—but only if you have zero exposure. Otherwise, you need it to be back up 100% to get back to the green.
This crypto crash has been a lot more fun for me than for the bagholders. The Signal was crystal clear.
Now TREND is at 78,900 👀
Are you scrolling X with your hair on fire, waiting for an email or alert to tell you what to do?
Are you looking at RR levels from yesterday’s close, without any idea where actual TRADE / TREND levels are?
How can you read warning shots vs "buy the damn dip"? You can't.
You are relying on someone else with your money.
Similar Set Signal is the only fractal indicator that lets you see what the fractal gods are saying. Don’t be the one left reacting. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today—pay for the math, then let the math pay you.
Start your risk-free 90-day trial now and see the difference for yourself.
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No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Uncertainty is not a bug in the process. It is the operating condition. The Signal can move from Quad2 to Quad4 to Quad1 because markets are non-linear. The job is not to explain it, but to...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The Old Wall model was built on certainty, reassurance, and narratives, while AI and The Machine are replacing that with signal, speed, and accuracy." — Keith McCullough Yesterday marked a clear...
Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The #Quad4 probability is rising because the signals are changing across assets: Bitcoin, crypto, oil, volatility, megacap tech, the US Dollar, and bond yields are all showing more defensive...