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How to Read Chart

Left Side - Similar Set TREND

Right Side - Similar Set TRADE

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Before I had the Similar Set Signal, I always felt like I was late to the move. I would get frustrated because Keith sounded so confident, and I would load up at the wrong time — usually too late.

For example, over the last few days he kept getting louder and louder. “Short Bitcoin. Short more of what has already gone against you. Short, short, short.”

But with the Similar Set Signal, I could see my own fractal math. It told me to stop shorting last Wednesday, wait, watch, and get way less aggressive. It didn’t say to cover yet, so I stayed in my core shorts from early March. Then on this Tuesday, it clearly said to cover.

Timestamp: Wednesday, April 1, 2026​

It also got me out of TLT days before Keith told everyone.

Timestamp: Wednesday, March 11, 2026​

And it got me out of Gold before the 10% drop.

Timestamp: Thursday, March 19, 2026​

I perform 10x better with the Similar Set Signal rather then when I was just a Hedgeye subscriber because I can see all the information for myself and make my own decisions instead of just relying on someone else to tell me what to do.

VIX

You can’t go back and change your past decisions, but you can go back and study what you did versus what the signal told you to do. Get the Similar Set Signal and start studying. There’s always a next time in the markets. No one gets this right immediately, but if you don’t have the math, the next time won’t be any different — I can pretty much guarantee that.

MOVE

Extremely accurate dates to go risk-on and risk-off.

HYG

Same dates. The math tells you in real time.

QQQ

Price is currently 2.5% above TREND. It’s at the top end of the RANGE, while TREND is sitting in the middle of the RANGE.

The market is telling you to incrementally buy from here down to 596. Incremental buying and the 2.5% figure are the keys.

Also, the break % in QQQ is 1.6%, so quick math shows that if you enter here, you may have to hold through a 4.1% move (2.5% above TREND + 1.6% break of TREND) before the math tells you to exit. Size your positions accordingly so you can withstand that.

With the math, you get so much more detail than just hearing “I’m covering today and our shorts had been working up to this point.”

For context, here’s the last bearish-to-bullish flip after a significant drawdown in the bearish TREND back in May.

Google

Big names are transitioning too. Take a moment and look at how the Similar Set Signal nailed the entire transition and marked the perfect spot to make the last 7 moves.

NVDA

NVDA is back in bullish TREND — right as it was ready to take off before the War started. It’s been a while since it’s acted as a market leader, but it’s coming out of the gate hot.

Netflix

Netflix stayed in bullish TREND for the entire War. Notice it didn’t go down.

The math matters, and it helps to see what is in bullish vs bearish TRENDs.

Mag7

Mag7 isn’t quite in bullish TREND yet, but all four US indexes are. Once Mag7 flips, expect acceleration. They flipped bearish TREND all the way back on January 13th, while QQQ didn’t break bearish TREND until a month later. Having the market leaders in bullish TREND is a healthy confirmation signal. It’s not there yet.

Sector Signals

XLE

Are you aggressively adding to the sector that has gone vertical for the past two months? Or are you simply holding your core position, waiting for chances to take profits from a core position that is 25% lower?

XLF

Just because the market flipped to risk-on and I stopped shorting doesn’t mean no shorts would work. I’m just not in them. The Similar Set Signal still shows plenty of bearish TRENDs, but do you really want to be pressing shorts while the market is squeezing? I don’t.

SMH

Semis exploded after breaking TREND. Out of all the sectors breaking bullish TREND (XLI, XLB, XLRE, XLC, XLK), Semis are the strongest. I’m waiting for pullbacks to add to the best fractal signals. I don’t know the exact timing or levels yet, but I’ll know precisely when they arrive and exactly what to do. I can guarantee that.

Macro Markets

USO

Bullish TRADE/TREND means the expectation is up. No, I don’t have to aggressively buy after an 80% move in the largest commodity in the world. I’m looking to cover most of my core position at the red line.

TLT

The bearish TRADE/TREND fractal signal told you to get short TLT after covering some at the green line the day before.

DXY

The dollar was another one where Keith was adamant about loading up. Yes, I agree the dollar is in bullish TRENDs at the low end of the RANGE, but do I want to be aggressive here? I didn’t. Not on a double failure of TRADE.

I’m waiting and watching from core positions, going back to the initial breakout.

GLD

Not interested in metals here. I don’t like shorting them late, and I’m not a long. The important part is whether you got out of the imploded bubble in metals on time — not just to avoid the drawdown, but to free up the mental and psychical capital to execute the new daily instructions the Similar Set Signal has been giving since.

HECA

You didn’t have to short, but you did have to cover. Never go against the signal. Don’t get attached to any ticker. If you did short on the fractal signal, make sure to take healthy profits here at the lows. It’s oversold and instructing you to take profits.

GVAL

Global Equities. Rode the bubble, got out on the pop, and stopped shorting on time. This is a general index. If the dollar breaks TREND, global equities will go back to being a money printer. For now, I’m waiting and watching. US equities and crypto have been the places to make incremental moves this week.

Bitcoin

Double failure of TRADE with a clear break into bullish TREND. At the very least, that means NO shorts. I’ve been waiting for this signal for months, so I incrementally added to crypto this week.

ETH

I added in the form of ETH because ETH/BTC is telling me fractally that ETH is objectively outperforming Bitcoin and should continue to do so. I used the same logic from the QQQ example: price is 4% above TREND and it takes 6% for TREND to break. That means I need to size my position so I’m comfortable with a 10% drawdown before the math tells me to exit.

ETH/BTC

First time since Sept 2025 TREND has been below the RANGE.

After doing this for a year, I would pick the Similar Set Signal over Keith’s signal. It has proven to me time and time again that it front-runs Keith’s calls — which even surprised me at how good it is. And it’s available to you right now. You can start seeing what Keith will say days before he tells you. You just have to pull the trigger and get it on your screen. Do it today.

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