Tuesday, Nov 3, 2026


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It’s Election Day and not much has changed, so I’m going to keep this one short.

As an overview, VIX, MOVE, HYG, and SPY are all signaling Quad 4.

VIX

MOVE

HYG

SPY

Shorts like DRAM and QTUM should have been added on the bounce at the top end of the RANGE in bearish TREND last week. Today they are oversold. Note IGV was cut from longs FRIDAY.

DRAM

QTUM

Longs like XLP, IAK, and XLF were added at the low end of the RANGE in bullish TREND last week and are now overbought. Sectors like XLV and XLE have been longs from the summer and continue to outperform and compound gains as they never flipped to bearish TREND.

XLP

IAK

XLF

XLV

XLE

Macro has been straight forward as Dollar has been bullish which means your correlated shorts should have been put on when UPP was at low end of the RANGE two weeks ago in GLD, Global Equities, and FX. Bonds flipped TREND signaling exit after a huge run since July. BTC broke TRADE but holding TREND meaning it’s a reduced but long exposure.

UUP

GLD

EPHE

EURO

TLT

BTC

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