Thursday, Nov 5, 2026


Welcome back Reader!

If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed.

Similar Set Handbook

More questions?

Drop them on X: @Similar_set

Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile.


What a day in the markets. It’s a humbling experience to see how catastrophic today has been for some people—but the Similar Set Signal had me positioned exactly where I needed to be so I wasn’t exposed to it.

​November 3, Election Day​

Shorts/Exit

Longs

VIX

If you had the fractal math and the discipline to follow it, you are doing just fine today with the VIX up 60% on the day. The last time we saw a breakout like this was back in February when the Iran War started.

SPY

Yesterday the VIX signal flipped, but the math told me not to chase. Thank God for fractal math—it’s down over 4% on the day.

​Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026​

AAPL

I wanted to highlight Apple because it was the same fractal setup as BTC (which we’ll cover at the end). The math was spot on: first break of TRADE, reduce; bid TREND; then sell some at the top end of RANGE. That equated to over a 7% move, all laid out perfectly by the Similar Set Signal.

Sector Signals

DRAM

The Signal couldn’t have been more accurate—telling you to short the day it pushed outside the top end of the RANGE after flipping to a bearish TREND a few weeks prior. Now it’s down 28% from that point and 14% on the day. This single signal snapshot is worth the entire lifetime cost of owning the full fractal math (Similar Set Signal subscribers).

QTUM

Similar Signal in QTUM. Now it’s time to sell SOME as the panic has set in and we’re outside the low end of the RANGE.

IGV

How long has this newsletter been saying buy the dip in software? Then on Nov 2 the signal told you to completely EXIT. It bounced back to test the bearish TREND yesterday and is now getting hammered, making new cycle lows. Again, the math couldn’t have been more accurate.

SPCX

Remember getting two 15% rips in SPCX? Then the signal told you to exit on Oct 30th—now it’s down over 10% from that signal. The Similar Set Signal gets you in, has you selling some at extremes, and gets you out before crashes—all with the same signaling process for any ticker that ticks, with extreme accuracy. I didn’t need a “market crash” call to be positioned for what’s occurring today. I just had to incrementally follow the fractal instructions daily. Markets are a completely different experience when you have the full fractal math.

RKLB

On the same day SPCX was telling you to exit, RKLB was giving you a picture-perfect rotation play within the Space sector to get short with that capital—which is now down 25%.

XLE

Had a good run in XLE since August. Now the signal is telling you to exit today. Don’t ignore TREND flips—that’s what separates small losers from detrimental bag holders. The Signal tells you WHEN.

XLV

Now let’s review how the longs are doing on this market crash. The signal had you in at the beginning of October. It was outside the top end of the RANGE yesterday (signaling overbought) and is just sitting at yesterday’s low. No damage to the overall book.

XLF

XLF same thing—extremely overbought. Now with markets showing Quad 4 again, I might just exit this position completely in profit as shorts look stronger than longs, especially in this sector. Again, no damage to the overall book; this position is well in profit.

XLY

Same setup in XLY. Not hanging around in these sectors.

XLP

Sectors I am hanging onto are XLP and IAK, as they are great defensive exposures to have during Quad 4. Make sure you take SOME profits outside the top end of the RANGE when it’s happening.

IAK

Same signal in insurance. So despite this MASSIVE move in markets, the signal had me positioned safely across shorts and longs. People without fractal math most likely weren’t. The difference was simply having the Similar Set Signal on my screen and practicing the discipline to execute it daily—not trying to make one big call.

Macro Markets

DXY

Dollar is a long in Quad 4 and remains bullish TRADE and TREND at a fractal buy spot, which has significance for the rest of Macro. Due to that, I remain short FX, Global Equity, and GLD.

Euro

Remain patient. Nothing is changing here. TRADE and TREND are well above RANGE.

EPHE

This is why I like ETFs over individual stocks and countries (I do both). Not having single-ticker variance but rather a collective of correlated tickers smooths price action quite a bit.

EEM

This is why I like ETFs over individual stocks and countries (I do both). Not having single-ticker variance but rather a collective of correlated tickers smooths price action quite a bit.

TLT

TLT was the macro buy of the day yesterday and, not surprisingly, is up on the day. This is how you use the Similar Set Signal over long TRENDs. Short July 7th with a few reloads at the top end of the RANGE, then exit on TREND flip and go the other way when it reaches the low end of the RANGE in bullish TRADE and TREND. Markets become quite simple when you have the full fractal picture.

GLD

Speaking of reloads, GLD is overrunning TRADE (hasn’t broken yet). Remember I use volatility-adjusted breaks as described in the Fractal Signals product page , which means you can reload or just cut short exposure depending on your size and exposure. But if the dollar rallies, GLD should make its way back to the low end of the RANGE. If it breaks TRADE, I reduce to minimum.

BTC

As mentioned above with AAPL, this is the same fractal setup: after the first break of TRADE, reduce, then place bids at TREND. We got that to the tune of +5%. Today it completely reversed that, which isn’t a great signal. I took some profits yesterday at bearish TRADE and am shaving this down to minimum, ready to exit at a moment’s notice if it breaks TREND. But until that actually happens, just waiting and watching.

Ready for markets that feel simple instead of chaotic?

Imagine waking up to days like this knowing exactly where you stand—short where the math says short, long where it says long, taking profits at RANGE extremes, and exiting before the real damage hits—without needing a single heroic market-crash call. That’s the transformation with Similar Set Signal: you stop reacting to headlines and start executing clear fractal instructions daily. TRADE, TREND, and RANGE do the heavy lifting. Your job is simply the discipline to follow them.

Subscribers get the full fractal math on every ticker that ticks, so you’re positioned for what actually happens instead of hoping your opinions are right. Stop being the person exposed when the VIX rips 60%. Start being the one who was already on the right side.

Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and experience markets with the complete fractal picture. The difference isn’t luck or a big call—it’s having the signal on your screen every day.


Similar Set Signal puts the full fractal math on every ticker you follow.

90 Day 100% Money-Back Guarantee

What customers saying about the Similar Set Signal 👇

My win percentage has gone roof"

Your Signal is already paying off nicely

This is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missing

What a game changer

Accelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believe

This is the tool I needed!

For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye sub

Fills in the Gaps


Tip Jar

If these free levels helped you make money—or avoid losing it. Send a little back to help keep the daily Signal free:

​https://similarset.kit.com/products/tips​

If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you!

Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

Read more from Similar Set Signal

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. I was beating the drum on “wait until after the midterms to see what the machine looks like.” Today is making some big moves. That being said, the signal had you positioned for a big day in everything besides Oil. Let’s review it all. VIX...

Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. It’s Election Day and not much has changed, so I’m going to keep this one short. As an overview, VIX, MOVE, HYG, and SPY are all signaling Quad 4. VIX MOVE HYG SPY Shorts like DRAM and QTUM should have been added on the bounce at the top end of...

Defensive sectors continue to outperform, with Healthcare (XLV) and Consumer Staples (XLP) gaining +9.8% and +10.9% over the past month, respectively, while Technology (XLK) has fallen -8.3%.Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. "Defensive sectors continue to outperform, with...