Wednesday, October 1st, 2025


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Pro Tip: If you want bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile

How to Read Chart

Left Side - Daily (Similar Set TREND)

Right Side - 4HR (Similar Set TRADE)

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“If you want something - like avoiding crashes and drawdowns that wipe you out - you're going to have to change your behavior." - Keith McCullough

The simplest way to transform your trading is to remove emotion from the equation. The Similar Set Signal uses machine-driven flows to SEE what the fractal gods are whispering.

VIX

The VIX remains in a bullish Similar Set TRADE, forming higher lows within its range.

It recently rejected 17.50 in a bearish TREND above the range’s top.

A close below TRADE would signal more new all-time highs for equities, we'll have to wait and watch to see.

Nasdaq

The Similar Set Signal perfectly called the recent dip, hitting TRADE near the range’s low end with pinpoint accuracy.

Russell 2000

Small caps have lagged in this dip, but that’s where opportunity lies. As we shift from Quad 3 to Quad 2 and the VIX nears a bearish TRADE close, the Russell 2000 is my top buy if we get that close in VIX.

DXY

The Dollar is holding a bullish Similar Set TRADE, building higher lows as the range’s top climbs above TREND. It’s poised for another attempt at a bullish TREND breakout as we enter Quad 2 in October.

2YR

The 2-Year yield, was moving in sync with the DXY, is now diverging a little. It bounced off the range’s low end, but closed below TRADE.

I’m watching for a clear separation from TRADE to confirm a breakdown.

Close vs. Separate Explained:

A “close” is the first bar. The next few bars show space between dots and candles—more space means stronger confirmation.

Gold

Gold is unfazed, ripping to new all-time highs as predicted by its bullish TRADE and TREND with a rising range.

Crypto

USDT.D

A lot can shift in a day. I covered my shorts on USDT.D after a bearish TRADE breakout, with a downward-sloping range and a potential cross below TREND at the range’s low end.

Compare that to yesterday:

XRP

I took a small stop loss after nailing the shorts over the last week while others bought the dip and got run over. XRP remains in a bearish TREND at the range’s top, but with USDT.D no longer in bullish TRADE and TREND, with crypto’s volatility I’m waiting for a clearer signal.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is making a clear statement holding Similar Set TRADE, which perpetuated the blast through TREND. I’m not long yet, as it’s at the range’s top, but this signal is a sharp contrast to yesterday. Patience is key—let the signal develop.

Shorts

Germany EWG

Not every trade wins, which is why position sizing matters. This was a max short, with TRADE and TREND so close together, I’m just holding instead of reducing some one TRADE break. I’ll stop out fully if we see a close and separation of TREND. If a 1% move against you causes panic, reduce your max sizing.

CANE

Sugar, another short from yesterday, is down over 2% from the range’s top within bearish TRADE and TREND. Stay disciplined, stick to the process, and execute consistently.

Why Subscribe to Similar Set Signal?

Not every day is a “buy the dip” moment. Some days call for selling into strength, others are choppy, and some signal major shifts (like Quad 2 to Quad 4, not expected until December). Whatever the market brings, the Similar Set Signal tells you exactly what to do with clarity and precision.

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Read more from Similar Set Signal

Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set “I think financial markets perform best when they react to incoming data… The more the markets are paying attention to what is happening in the real economy… The more financial markets can price...

Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "Repetition is the real edge. The process, the routine, and the daily reps matter more than bold calls or knockout moments." — Keith McCullough The bold calls only happen in hindsight after the...

""Welcome back Reader! How to Read Chart Left Side - Similar Set TREND Right Side - Similar Set TRADE Pro Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. New Similar Set Handbook Confused about what's going on in the newsletter? Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set "The answer to WHEN is still process, not prediction. When Market Structure changes, Risk Range dimensions shift, TRADE breaks, and TREND follows the pattern remembers, the Cycle follows sequence,...