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Signal @similar_set #CPI Fractal math says crowd has room to panic on higher than expected inflation print Sell off in AM right into fractal oversold levels. Then rip into market close after people panic post rate hike expectation going back up $BTC primed to be the biggest winner of this 9:55 PM • Oct 13, 2026 1 Retweets 5 Likes

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Crowd is panicking because they weren’t prepared for a sell-off in equities and couldn’t see the obvious plays. Yesterday’s clear move was grossing up rate-sensitivity exposure via TLT and GLD. Now that the panic is here, QQQ is a great buy—and we’ll see how Bitcoin finishes the week.

VIX

The last three red-arrow days (touch of bearish TRADE/TREND) have been buying opportunities. Math says today is another one. The setup is especially strong: VIX is overbought while TREND remains well above the top end of the RANGE.

QQQ

QQQ is oversold in bullish TRADE/TREND after six straight down days from the point the signal told you to reduce long exposure and take some profits. Now you get to buy back the late buyers’ capitulation.

MAGS

Mega caps aren’t quite at the low end of the RANGE yet, but they carry a stronger signal than SPY if you want to incrementally add here while VIX sits at a key fractal level.

IWM

Small caps continue to be a great hedge. The signal said to sell some—not all—as the bearish TREND math remains intact.

AAPL

No panic in Apple. Depending on your exposure, this market feels very different from what the average investor is experiencing.

Sector Signals

IGV

Did you sell some when the math told you to? If you did, now you can start buying some back during the panic.

CRWD

Crowdstrike remains one of the strongest fractal signals in software. It’s another buy today, with RANGE sitting above both TRADE and TREND.

SMH

Semis are getting hammered again today. This can happen—that’s why you size positions according to volatility and always plan for the trade to go wrong. When I added to this position I already knew exactly how much I was willing to risk if it broke TREND. We haven’t broken TREND quite yet. We’ll see how it closes today and tomorrow.

QTUM

QTUM is gone. I cut it. Not every signal will be a winner, but the real questions are: How much did you sell at the top end of the RANGE? Where did you buy from? And how much of your portfolio was in this one position? This is a small loser in the book and was worth the risk 10 out of 10 times.

SPCX

SpaceX was a big winner. I sold some at the top end of the RANGE and am now reducing further. I never added on the way up, and the position is still at its minimum and still green from entry. Where you enter means everything in markets. I wasn’t chasing—math got me in before the move. Now you risk-manage it.

XLE

XLE is on an absolute tear. This is why you reduce, not exit, on TRADE breaks. TREND was never in question.

XLV

Same with XLV. TREND was tested here but never broke. Follow the fractal math.

XLU

XLU continues to hold bullish TRADE. As we just reviewed, it was a reduce, not an exit—so nothing to do here.

Macro Markets

TLT

TLT stopped going up exactly at the top end of the RANGE. It’s pulling back midday, but the math says to expect this bearish TREND to continue lower.

GLD

Gold got smoked. The time to short was Monday.

​Monday, October 12, 2026​

DXY

A rising dollar is a good Quad 2 signal, but the rate and relentlessness of the move appear to be causing problems in the equity market.

INDA

India was one of the most obvious ways to play a strong dollar in global equities. It’s playing out as expected today.

​Tuesday, October 13, 2026​

BTC

Bitcoin is still holding strong through this panic. Once the panic passes, math says it should be ready to continue its bullish TREND.

Summary

To review today’s signal: VIX is at a great spot to fade the panic. I’m playing that in names like QQQ, IGV, CRWD, and MAGS. A few names continue to weaken—QTUM (cut) and SPCX (reduced). Not everything is a dip to buy; in fact, not much is signaling an add despite the VIX spike. Rate-sensitive positions stopped rising right on cue and were expressed via TLT, GLD, and XLU. The dollar continues its rip (short INDA against it), and Bitcoin is showing strength by holding TRADE. This is what the math is telling me, and we’ll see how it plays out the rest of the week.

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