Thursday, August 13, 2026


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Yesterday we covered why WHEN is so important, but the thing about WHEN is you can’t go back—and there isn’t always a new WHEN to act on. Today the market is slowly grinding its way into a stronger position, but there aren’t many new actions to take.

VIX

Most people’s fallacy is saying “VIX is sub 15, sell here.”

Math is saying the complete opposite: bearish TRADE TREND with room to run to sub 13. If you do get a bounce here, your next WHEN will be at 17.42 at the top end of the RANGE. That’s the difference between reading X and seeing the fractal math.

MOVE

Bond volatility just gave the same risk-on signal. It was overrunning TREND and is now back at cycle lows after the CPI and PPI data. Risk-on signal.

HYG

Coming out of Quad 4, credit broke TRADE and is now working on TREND. More risk-on signals.

QQQ

Long Nasdaq? You should be—your WHEN was August 6th. Now look at its RANGE: it’s crossing over TREND, with the top end signaling new ATHs. You can’t go back. You need a tool that executes in real time.

Sector Signals

The market shifted two weeks ago from defensives to growth. Similar Set Signal told you WHEN to make the shift.

SMH

Semis are starting to catch up. This is a major tailwind for the Nasdaq to accelerate.

IGV

Software sits in the middle of the RANGE. WHEN you get the low end of the RANGE, buy the damn dip.

XLV

Healthcare’s WHEN was back on June 4. Then it gave you two “buy the damn dip” opportunities on June 18th and July 21st. Now it’s at cycle highs. You don’t know when your next pullback will be, but today isn’t that day. This is where you sell SOME gains if you haven’t yet.

XLF

WHEN should you have bought financials? June 3rd, June 30th, and July 23rd.

QTUM

QTUM was this week’s WHEN moment. Now it’s up 4.41% from TREND and should be an outperformer going into a Quad 1 next month, as Quad 1 loves small-cap growth.

​Tuesday, August 11, 2026​

Macro Markets

TLT

July 7th was an important date. Did you buy TLT because it was Quad 4, or did you listen to the math? Math always wins that battle. Now it’s rejecting the top end of the RANGE in bearish TRADE TREND, as expected.

Oil

Math tells you WHEN to do nothing as well. Bullish TRADE, bearish TREND, in the middle of the RANGE—that’s when I sit on my hands.

DXY

DXY has more data than UUP (cash-only market data). It showed a double failure at TRADE on July 29th, broke TREND on August 7th, and is now signaling bearish TRADE TREND at the top end of the RANGE—giving yet another major risk-on signal. This doesn’t mean there are a bunch of moves to make today. It’s a signal that what’s been working in risk-on, such as QQQ and QTUM, should keep working.

ENZL

Bearish DXY means bullish global equities. New Zealand gave you a buy this morning. Were you able to see the market as an entire fractal machine? Similar Set Signal owners can pinpoint the WHENs into single moments. They don’t need me or Keith to tell them this is a good buy-the-dip.

COLO

Yesterday was WHEN you should have been selling SOME of Colombia. Today you can be rotating it into ENZL.

EWZ

Similar Set Signal also told you not to buy Brazil, as it was in bearish TREND while other countries were in bullish TREND. If you did buy Brazil, August 10th was WHEN you should have been completely out—as it broke back to bearish TRADE and TREND. It’s down over 4% in 3 days since that moment.

GLD

Gold is back in bullish TRADE TREND for the first time since March 17th. Today it pulled back to TREND after breaking bullish. Yes, it’s extending—but that doesn’t mean overbought can’t get more overbought. Don’t fight the math. Shift with it.

BTC

The dollar is sitting at a great fractal short spot today, while Bitcoin is sitting at the low end of the RANGE in bullish TREND. This is WHEN you buy. If you’re already fully exposed, adding some Gold or ENZL are similar correlated trades. Make sure you weight positions based on volatility and stay diversified across macro assets.

Ready to stop guessing and start catching WHEN in real time?

Similar Set Signal doesn’t just show you charts—it hands you the exact moments the fractal math lights up, so you can act while everyone else is still debating. Owners already saw the shift from defensives to growth, the QTUM breakout, the ENZL dip, the Brazil exit, and the risk-on cascade across VIX, MOVE, HYG, DXY… all before the crowd. If you want to trade with the math instead of against it, join the traders who never miss the next WHEN. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and turn every market into a clear, executable edge. Try it today risk free for 90 days, why not?


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