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Friday, October 2, 2026
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"No words required. No intellectual justification. Just the result. That's The Signaling Process." — Keith McCullough
Everyone knows the market is irrational. When it comes to individual decisions, that knowledge gets lost and turns into a “conviction” or “thesis” decision, because that is what gives people the confidence to put money on the line. Similar Set Signal removes the intellect and provides clear fractal instruction without the rational justification. VIXQuad 2 starts. Man, I love fractal math. MOVEBond volatility is holding. Equities don’t care. Don’t make the market an intellectual exercise. HYGCredit is stabilizing at the low end of the RANGE. If this collapse couldn’t get VIX to flip bullish, what happens when it runs to the top end of its RANGE? SPYSPY held TRADE, and now the low end of the RANGE is crossing above both fractal durations. Equities are building fractal momentum, and yesterday into today’s open was a very important move. QQQNew cycle highs in the Nasdaq. MAGSMega caps are in a bullish TRADE TREND formation, an important underlying signal that keeps indices strong. AAPLApple is up 2.3% since Similar Set Signal said go long outside the low end of the RANGE in a bullish TRADE TREND yesterday. Sector SignalsIGVSoftware held TRADE, and the low end of the RANGE is now slowing down right where the fractal math said it should. BUGSame signal in cyber software. SMHAre you positioned for Quad 2? Monday gave another entry and fractal instruction, up 6% on the week. Now you are at the mercy of the market to give a pullback, and the low end of the RANGE is not above Monday’s price. If you don’t have Similar Set Signal, why not? You would have been able to cover the LIFETIME cost of this indicator with the fractal instructions from the last few weeks alone. Lifetime is a long time for a $3k price point. DRAMAI bubble is back. Yesterday was the time to buy with VIX at bearish TREND. QTUMThe market front-ran Quad 2, flipping bullish TREND on Sept 21, then gave you the buy on Monday. Another ticker with the low end of the RANGE above entry price, and a great core allocation for Q4. SPCX🎯 up 7% since Monday. The difference between this call and most people on X calling the SPCX move is that they told you to buy the dip since the IPO on June 12th. Similar Set Signal gave one call at the exact right moment in real time. I would not be able to do what I do without fractal math. If you are trying to perform in markets without it, you are making it so much harder than it has to be. BWETUp 37% in two weeks. Laid out explicitly in the math. You can’t tell me this product wouldn’t have paid for itself already if you had it for the Quad 4 September transition into Quad 2 and Q4. And if it didn’t, I offer a 100% money-back guarantee. XLVWho got you reducing healthcare at the September highs? Similar Set Signal. Now you should be working on getting allocation to 0 if it volatility-adjusts and breaks TREND. It was a good run from June, but the fractal math told you to move on and pivot to QQQ, SMH, QTUM, and IGV. How did you manage this move? I know what was said and when it was said in real time, because these daily posts are timestamps. Remember, I’m not making these calls. I’m reading the math and telling you what it says. You don’t need me for that. You need the fractal math. XLFWant to know what is possible in XLV? Look at what happens to a sector when the ticker flips bearish. XLIXLI got crushed after flipping bearish TREND. Why wasn’t I looking to short at the top end of the RANGE in bearish TRADE TREND? One: the overall market looks bullish and is heading into Quad 2. Two: it was at Similar Set TAIL. I talked about this on Sept 23rd in real time. Wednesday, September 23, 2026 Macro MarketsDXYDid you get global macro right since the Fed hiked? A lot of intellects had opinions on what they thought the market should do. Not surprising the market didn’t care about their opinions. Now it has gone straight up since Sept 10th (math front-ran the hike). It’s at the top end of the RANGE and should at the very least consolidate this monster move. EWGThat means make sure you take profits on correlated assets at the low end of the RANGE, like Germany. Rotate winners into the strongest fractal instructions every day. That is the name of the game. To play the game like this, you need the fractal map. TLTSeven straight days at the low end of the RANGE. The math was very clear on when to get short (July 7th) and when to reload (Tuesday, Sept 22nd). Now it’s very clear: be at your minimum. Similar Set Signal gave you fractal instruction to short TLT the day it started its historic collapse. Probably just a coincidence. GLDGold sucks and will continue to suck until the math flips. BTCBitcoin is Brownian again. Getting people excited and buying near the top end of the RANGE while the floor (low end of the RANGE) climbs higher. Bitcoin still has a final boss to beat, and that’s TAIL above ~$92K. This doesn’t mean be bearish. It means the full fractal math isn’t aligned yet. I’d expect it to be bullish TAIL by the end of Quad 2 Q4, and when a ticker breaks a fractal level it tends to accelerate. Stop trading opinions and start following the map. Similar Set Signal turns the noise of conviction and thesis into clear fractal instructions—the same instructions that flagged the long in AAPL outside the low end of the RANGE, the SMH entry that is already up 6% on the week, the SPCX call up 7% since Monday, the BWET setup up 37% in two weeks, and the TLT short the day the collapse started. Lifetime access is $3k, covered by the recent signals alone, with a 100% money-back guarantee if it doesn’t pay for itself. Get Similar Set Signal today for you're best PnL Quarter to date. Similar Set Signal puts the full fractal math on every ticker you follow. 90 Day 100% Money-Back Guarantee
What customers saying about the Similar Set Signal 👇My win percentage has gone roof"Your Signal is already paying off nicelyThis is exactly what all Hedgeye subs are missingWhat a game changerAccelerated my understanding of the process like you can’t believeThis is the tool I needed!For the first time since becoming a Hedgeye subFills in the GapsTip JarIf these free levels helped you make money—or avoid losing it. Send a little back to help keep the daily Signal free: https://similarset.kit.com/products/tips If you have any questions, reply to this email and I'll get back to you! |
Similar Set Signal
No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.
Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. What a day in the markets. It’s a humbling experience to see how catastrophic today has been for some people—but the Similar Set Signal had me positioned exactly where I needed to be so I wasn’t exposed to it. November 3, Election Day...
Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. I was beating the drum on “wait until after the midterms to see what the machine looks like.” Today is making some big moves. That being said, the signal had you positioned for a big day in everything besides Oil. Let’s review it all. VIX...
Welcome back Reader! If new to the Similar Set Signal newsletter use the free Handbook to get you up to speed. Similar Set Handbook Use Handbook More questions? Drop them on X: @Similar_set Tip: If you need bigger charts use desktop instead of mobile. It’s Election Day and not much has changed, so I’m going to keep this one short. As an overview, VIX, MOVE, HYG, and SPY are all signaling Quad 4. VIX MOVE HYG SPY Shorts like DRAM and QTUM should have been added on the bounce at the top end of...