Friday, August 14th, 2026


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Key theme this week has been change as the signal changes.

The question is: how well did you change with it?

If you aren’t positioned for today’s market, ask “why did I miss it?”

The answer for me was “I can’t see what Keith sees.”

Hence the Similar Set Signal.

Now I can.

VIX

Did you see the shift in signals in real time? It went from Quad 4 potential bullish trending volatility breakout to completely risk-on in a matter of about a week. July 29th was the exact WHEN moment, but over the course of the next week up to August 6th, you had time to make the shift.

MOVE

August 6th also confirmed in bond volatility. We got an overrun of TREND during CPI and PPI data days, but the math was there telling you what to do if you could see it.

HYG

Credit broke bullish TRADE the next day and is now working on TREND.

SPHB

High beta as a factor exposure gave the same signal on August 6th.

​Tuesday, August 11, 2026​

QQQ

I was a buyer of QQQ on August 6th, all because I could see the fractal machine shift in real time. What did you do on this shift? Were you able to pull the trigger in real time? If you didn’t, try getting the math on your screen—I wouldn’t have been able to without it.

​Thursday, August 6, 2026​

Sector Signals

IGV

The best sector to add was Software, now up 8% since.

NOW

I use the sector signals to find individual stocks. Meaning on August 6th I was a buyer of software, and the best fractal software add on that day was NOW. It’s up 12% since that day. I recommend adding both, as sector signals have less variance but individual stocks add more upside.

QTUM

A week later QTUM signaled the strongest add. It’s been up every day since.

​Tuesday, August 11, 2026​

XLV

XLV was at the top end of the RANGE on August 11th. That was the day to sell some gains and rotate into more growth sectors to diversify the book.

XLE

Energy sector is giving you that same opportunity today.

XLY

Consumer Discretionary broke back to bullish TREND August 3rd. It was another signal telling you NOT QUAD 4 in real time.

TSLA

Remember the signal works both ways. It told you to short July 15th. It crashed 25%, then when XLY flipped long I was covering August 3 despite TSLA still being bearish TREND. That’s how I use the full fractal math—with broad-based market signals (VIX, MOVE, HYG), then sector (XLY), then stock (TSLA). But you need to be able to see TRADE TREND RANGE on every ticker in real time to execute it.

​Wednesday, July 15, 2026​

AMZN

Now as XLY pulls back to the low end of the RANGE, it’s telling me to buy AMZN, not TSLA. AMZN is still up 16% from its July lows, but with the math I can see it’s in a great spot to add today. So the fractal instructions today are sell some XLE and buy some AMZN. I can do all of this with just a single tool—Similar Set Signal. No need to wait for someone else to tell me what I should be doing after the move already happens.

SMH

I’m not yet a buyer of Semi as it’s still overrunning bearish TREND, but that doesn’t mean I was hanging around in these shorts as the rest of the market made the shift.

XLC

Communication is breaking out to bullish TREND today. Today is the day to look for Communication stocks at strong fractal positions.

XLI

Industrials is a sector I’m keeping an eye on for the low end of the RANGE. With the Similar Set Signal you know exactly where you would become a buyer (low end of the RANGE in bullish TRADE TREND). Setting limit orders at the RANGE is a smart move so you don’t ever miss the dip. You don’t have to be glued to the screen when you have all the fractal levels.

Macro Markets

TLT

There’s a lot of opinions on bonds. Math has the facts. Short July 7th, stay in position until math changes. Just rejected the top end of the RANGE to new cycle lows.

Oil

Still doing nothing in Oil.

DXY

DXY down big today. Did you see the opportunity in real time? Correlated risk assets are lagging this big move, but a direct way you should have been playing it yesterday was adding FX longs.

​Thursday, August 13, 2026​

Euro

Euro ripping right on time as it breaks back to bullish TREND.

EWZ

Brazil still sucks. Imagine being in this without being able to see the Signal because Keith said he was long it. Following someone else’s calls isn’t a process.

COLO

Columbia is a completely different signal and is working as math predicted.

ENZL

Buying the dip at the low end of the RANGE as the DXY looked ready to fall was the play yesterday. It’s working as expected today.

GLD

Gold’s price action isn’t doing much, but that doesn’t mean nothing is happening. The signal is gaining strength as it will close bullish TREND again today as TREND falls and RANGE climbs higher. That’s the full fractal picture—not just if the ticker is green or red on the day.

BTC

Bitcoin low of the day $62,490.

Similar Set TREND: $62,490.

Patience is sometimes required. Adding at the low end of the RANGE 3 days ago was the play. Now just wait and watch. Be ready to cut the position if it breaks bearish TREND, which—if you can see the math—is a volatility-adjusted break of 3.1% below TREND at $60,530.

Stop guessing. Start seeing.

Every shift above—from the VIX flip to the exact entry on NOW, the TSLA short cover, the AMZN rotation, the Euro breakout—was visible in real time with the Similar Set Signal. No more “why did I miss it?” No more waiting for someone else’s call after the move is gone. Get the fractal machine on your screen. TRADE. TREND. RANGE. On every ticker. In real time. Subscribe to Similar Set Signal today and never trade blind again. Try it today for 90 days risk free, the last question to answer today is WHY NOT?


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Similar Set Signal

No official affiliation with Hedgeye. Just a power user that wanted to see what Kieth was seeing on his screen Sign up here to see the tickers Kieth talked about on the Macro Show today.

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